Financials Sichuan Swellfun Co.,Ltd

Equities

600779

CNE000000NH4

Distillers & Wineries

End-of-day quote Shanghai S.E. 06:00:00 2024-05-16 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
47.13 CNY +1.51% Intraday chart for Sichuan Swellfun Co.,Ltd +1.55% -19.81%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 25,282 40,533 58,480 41,155 28,651 22,904 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 24,043 39,203 56,596 39,250 26,307 19,979 19,495 18,577
P/E ratio 30.6 x 55.5 x 48.9 x 33.8 x 22.6 x 16.3 x 14.2 x 13.2 x
Yield 2.8% 1.45% 0.63% 0.89% 1.56% 2.07% 2.34% 2.67%
Capitalization / Revenue 7.14 x 13.5 x 12.6 x 8.81 x 5.78 x 4.23 x 3.77 x 3.5 x
EV / Revenue 6.79 x 13 x 12.2 x 8.4 x 5.31 x 3.69 x 3.21 x 2.84 x
EV / EBITDA 20.6 x 37.7 x 32.4 x 22.8 x 14.6 x 9.8 x 8.27 x 7.27 x
EV / FCF 36.8 x 62.5 x 51.9 x 109 x 34.6 x 27.5 x 21.8 x 29.3 x
FCF Yield 2.72% 1.6% 1.93% 0.92% 2.89% 3.64% 4.58% 3.42%
Price to Book 12 x 19 x 22.3 x 11.9 x 6.53 x 4.33 x 3.52 x 3.07 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 488,546 488,231 487,377 487,503 487,503 485,979 - -
Reference price 2 51.75 83.02 120.0 84.42 58.77 47.13 47.13 47.13
Announcement Date 4/24/20 4/9/21 4/22/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 3,539 3,006 4,632 4,673 4,953 5,417 6,070 6,551
EBITDA 1 1,164 1,040 1,748 1,724 1,805 2,038 2,356 2,554
EBIT 1 1,102 964.7 1,669 1,633 1,698 1,873 2,191 2,345
Operating Margin 31.13% 32.1% 36.03% 34.95% 34.28% 34.58% 36.1% 35.8%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,100 958 1,636 1,632 1,699 1,886 2,193 2,353
Net income 1 826.3 731.3 1,199 1,216 1,269 1,409 1,625 1,742
Net margin 23.35% 24.33% 25.89% 26.02% 25.62% 26.02% 26.78% 26.6%
EPS 2 1.692 1.497 2.456 2.497 2.605 2.888 3.330 3.570
Free Cash Flow 1 653.1 627.4 1,091 360.8 759.9 726.4 893.3 635.1
FCF margin 18.46% 20.87% 23.55% 7.72% 15.34% 13.41% 14.72% 9.69%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 56.09% 60.32% 62.39% 20.93% 42.1% 35.65% 37.91% 24.87%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 79.04% 85.79% 90.97% 29.67% 59.89% 51.54% 54.96% 36.45%
Dividend per Share 2 1.450 1.200 0.7500 0.7500 0.9150 0.9739 1.103 1.259
Announcement Date 4/24/20 4/9/21 4/22/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 1,209 1,415 658.7 1,697 902 853.3 673.3 2,062 1,365 933.4 754.1 2,289 1,449 - -
EBITDA 289.2 485.8 25.92 899.4 - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 288.7 485 18.53 917.3 212.4 213.9 46.6 1,093 344.7 248.8 143.3 1,007 388.2 - -
Operating Margin 23.89% 34.28% 2.81% 54.05% 23.55% 25.07% 6.92% 52.99% 25.25% 26.65% 19% 44% 26.79% - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - 915.6 211.8 - 47.57 1,094 342.4 - - - - - -
Net income 1 198.7 362.6 7.112 685.3 160.8 - 43.3 819.7 246.3 - -50.99 644.2 274.2 - -
Net margin 16.44% 25.63% 1.08% 40.38% 17.83% - 6.43% 39.76% 18.05% - -6.76% 28.15% 18.92% - -
EPS 2 0.4100 0.7442 0.0148 1.410 0.3300 0.3276 0.0900 1.680 0.5100 0.3825 0.0628 1.445 0.6107 - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.7500 - - - 0.7500 - - - - - - - 0.8926 - -
Announcement Date 4/22/22 4/22/22 7/26/22 10/30/22 4/28/23 4/28/23 7/28/23 10/30/23 4/26/24 4/26/24 - - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 1,239 1,330 1,885 1,905 2,344 2,925 3,409 4,327
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 653 627 1,091 361 760 726 893 635
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 41.6% 34.4% 49.9% 40% 32.4% 27.1% 25.4% 23.7%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 23.1% 17.6% 23.4% - - 15% 15.1% 15.1%
Assets 1 3,572 4,156 5,129 - - 9,419 10,767 11,561
Book Value Per Share 2 4.320 4.370 5.390 7.080 9.000 10.90 13.40 15.30
Cash Flow per Share 2 1.780 1.730 3.340 2.690 3.550 3.400 3.310 4.490
Capex 1 215 218 538 953 974 650 563 512
Capex / Sales 6.07% 7.25% 11.62% 20.39% 19.66% 12% 9.28% 7.82%
Announcement Date 4/24/20 4/9/21 4/22/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
47.13 CNY
Average target price
54.18 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+14.96%
Consensus
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