SEIBU HOLDINGS INC. |
Delayed
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,282 JPY | +1.13% |
|
-3.12% | +16.56% |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 599,712 | 355,458 | 365,756 | 382,073 | 408,943 | 679,375 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 1,478,212 | 1,243,109 | 1,259,187 | 1,222,007 | 1,169,327 | 1,455,068 | 1,311,589 | 1,363,395 |
| P/E ratio | 13.3 x | 78.3 x | -5.06 x | 35.9 x | 7.2 x | 27 x | 18.9 x | 18.7 x |
| Yield | 1.55% | 2.53% | - | 0.39% | 1.84% | 1.03% | 1.34% | 1.39% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.06 x | 0.64 x | 1.09 x | 0.96 x | 0.95 x | 1.53 x | 1.1 x | 1.34 x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.61 x | 2.24 x | 3.74 x | 3.08 x | 2.73 x | 3.05 x | 2.12 x | 2.69 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.7 x | 10.9 x | 201 x | 28.1 x | 15.2 x | 14.4 x | 8.03 x | 12.3 x |
| EV / FCF | 309 x | 259 x | -17.5 x | 30.6 x | 7.54 x | 30.3 x | 54.8 x | 41.1 x |
| FCF Yield | 0.32% | 0.39% | -5.7% | 3.27% | 13.3% | 3.3% | 1.82% | 2.43% |
| Price to Book | 1.44 x | 0.97 x | 1.22 x | 1.23 x | 1.1 x | 1.71 x | 1.42 x | 1.41 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 309,609 | 299,207 | 299,800 | 300,372 | 300,914 | 301,075 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 1,937 | 1,188 | 1,220 | 1,272 | 1,359 | 2,256 | 2,256 | 2,256 |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/19 | 5/26/20 | 5/13/21 | 5/12/22 | 5/11/23 | 5/9/24 | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: March | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 565,939 | 554,590 | 337,061 | 396,856 | 428,487 | 477,598 | 619,750 | 506,550 |
| EBITDA 1 | 126,458 | 113,536 | 6,252 | 43,430 | 76,796 | 101,249 | 163,400 | 110,916 |
| EBIT 1 | 73,332 | 56,823 | -51,587 | -13,216 | 22,155 | 47,711 | 52,911 | 54,244 |
| Operating Margin | 12.96% | 10.25% | -15.3% | -3.33% | 5.17% | 9.99% | 8.54% | 10.71% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 60,376 | 18,773 | -71,970 | 28,973 | 62,011 | 43,642 | 50,350 | 51,495 |
| Net income 1 | 45,457 | 4,670 | -72,301 | 10,623 | 56,753 | 26,990 | 36,215 | 36,569 |
| Net margin | 8.03% | 0.84% | -21.45% | 2.68% | 13.24% | 5.65% | 5.84% | 7.22% |
| EPS 2 | 145.2 | 15.18 | -241.3 | 35.39 | 188.7 | 89.65 | 119.5 | 120.7 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 4,787 | 4,803 | -71,801 | 39,916 | 155,021 | 48,042 | 23,923 | 33,174 |
| FCF margin | 0.85% | 0.87% | -21.3% | 10.06% | 36.18% | 10.06% | 3.86% | 6.55% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 3.79% | 4.23% | - | 91.91% | 201.86% | 47.45% | 14.64% | 29.91% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 10.53% | 102.85% | - | 375.75% | 273.15% | 178% | 66.06% | 90.72% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 30.00 | 30.00 | - | 5.000 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 30.33 | 31.40 |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/19 | 5/26/20 | 5/13/21 | 5/12/22 | 5/11/23 | 5/9/24 | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: March | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 S1 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2024 S2 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 | 2025 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 294,689 | 154,899 | 103,145 | 194,908 | 105,374 | 96,574 | 103,432 | 109,163 | 212,595 | 107,900 | 107,992 | 116,212 | 122,670 | 238,882 | 121,594 | 117,122 | - | 119,500 | 127,000 | 123,600 | 372,900 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | - | 16,100 | 23,582 | 13,418 | 6,430 | 21,441 | 19,731 | 41,172 | 20,200 | 15,820 | 27,757 | 30,395 | 58,152 | 29,448 | 13,649 | - | 24,750 | 29,250 | 24,250 | 129,250 |
| EBIT 1 | 43,796 | -30,690 | 2,462 | -3,533 | -877 | -8,806 | 7,624 | 5,791 | 13,415 | 6,700 | 2,040 | 14,653 | 17,165 | 31,818 | 15,783 | 110 | - | 11,500 | 14,500 | 10,000 | 114,000 |
| Operating Margin | 14.86% | -19.81% | 2.39% | -1.81% | -0.83% | -9.12% | 7.37% | 5.3% | 6.31% | 6.21% | 1.89% | 12.61% | 13.99% | 13.32% | 12.98% | 0.09% | - | 9.62% | 11.42% | 8.09% | 30.57% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 38,322 | -42,087 | -3,180 | -10,931 | 13,173 | 26,731 | 6,979 | 54,903 | 61,882 | 14,329 | -14,200 | 13,535 | 25,408 | 38,943 | 21,007 | -16,308 | - | 10,500 | 13,500 | 9,000 | 113,000 |
| Net income 1 | 28,118 | -39,033 | -3,880 | -12,751 | 3,883 | 19,491 | 3,668 | 60,973 | 64,641 | 5,800 | -13,688 | 9,099 | 18,359 | 27,458 | 15,727 | -16,195 | - | 7,000 | 9,000 | 6,000 | 78,000 |
| Net margin | 9.54% | -25.2% | -3.76% | -6.54% | 3.68% | 20.18% | 3.55% | 55.86% | 30.41% | 5.38% | -12.68% | 7.83% | 14.97% | 11.49% | 12.93% | -13.83% | - | 5.86% | 7.09% | 4.85% | 20.92% |
| EPS 2 | 91.10 | -130.3 | -12.92 | -42.49 | 12.94 | 64.94 | 12.21 | 202.8 | 215.0 | 19.44 | -45.77 | 30.23 | 60.98 | 91.21 | 52.24 | -53.80 | - | 23.30 | 29.90 | 19.90 | 259.1 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 15.00 | - | - | - | - | 5.000 | - | 5.000 | 5.000 | - | 20.00 | - | 12.50 | 12.50 | - | 12.50 | 12.50 | - | 15.00 | - | 16.00 |
| Announcement Date | 11/7/19 | 11/12/20 | 11/10/21 | 11/10/21 | 2/10/22 | 5/12/22 | 8/4/22 | 11/10/22 | 11/10/22 | 2/9/23 | 5/11/23 | 8/1/23 | 11/9/23 | 11/9/23 | 2/8/24 | 5/9/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: March | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 878,500 | 887,651 | 893,431 | 839,934 | 760,384 | 725,714 | 632,214 | 684,020 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 6.947 x | 7.818 x | 142.9 x | 19.34 x | 9.901 x | 7.168 x | 3.869 x | 6.167 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 4,787 | 4,803 | -71,801 | 39,916 | 155,021 | 48,042 | 23,923 | 33,174 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 11.3% | 1.2% | -21.7% | 3.5% | 16.6% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 8.18% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 3.85% | 2.84% | -3.45% | 0.62% | 1.22% | 2.67% | 4.85% | 2.57% |
| Assets 1 | 1,181,647 | 164,542 | 2,094,734 | 1,700,986 | 4,638,881 | 1,011,452 | 746,708 | 1,424,036 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 1,346 | 1,227 | 1,000 | 1,036 | 1,237 | 1,417 | 1,594 | 1,595 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 315.0 | 199.0 | -48.30 | 224.0 | 370.0 | 267.0 | 371.0 | 385.0 |
| Capex 1 | 83,317 | 86,993 | 60,673 | 44,276 | 48,555 | 70,381 | 133,000 | 90,333 |
| Capex / Sales | 14.72% | 15.69% | 18% | 11.16% | 11.33% | 14.74% | 21.46% | 17.83% |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/19 | 5/26/20 | 5/13/21 | 5/12/22 | 5/11/23 | 5/9/24 | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
2,256
JPY
Average target price
2,265
JPY
Spread / Average Target
+0.38%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +16.56% | 4.44B | |
| -4.02% | 21.98B | |
| +5.70% | 9.82B | |
| +5.35% | 7.11B | |
| -11.03% | 6.29B | |
| -12.61% | 6.1B | |
| -20.89% | 4.58B | |
| -23.45% | 3.87B | |
| -27.70% | 3.72B | |
| -13.81% | 3.03B |
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