Stock 2015 LI AUTO INC.
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Financials Li Auto Inc. Hong Kong S.E.

Equities

2015

KYG5479M1050

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

Market Closed - Hong Kong S.E.
Other stock markets
 04:08:25 2024-05-27 am EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
81.3 HKD +3.90% Intraday chart for Li Auto Inc. -15.22% -44.73%
May. 21 Barclays Adjusts Li Auto Price Target to $22 From $25, Maintains Equal Weight Rating MT
May. 21 Li Auto's Q1 Profit Falls 37% as Operating Expenses Surge MT

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 160,010 207,200 137,291 266,240 156,065 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 132,249 185,344 108,435 171,700 61,002 43,696 18,091
P/E ratio -103 x -583 x -68 x 23.9 x 19.1 x 10.6 x 8 x
Yield - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 16.9 x 7.67 x 3.03 x 2.15 x 1.02 x 0.69 x 0.58 x
EV / Revenue 14 x 6.86 x 2.39 x 1.39 x 0.4 x 0.19 x 0.07 x
EV / EBITDA -380 x -434 x -44.4 x 18.6 x 6.93 x 2.55 x 0.83 x
EV / FCF 53.6 x 37.9 x 48.1 x 3.89 x 4.24 x 1.83 x 0.62 x
FCF Yield 1.86% 2.64% 2.08% 25.7% 23.6% 54.5% 160%
Price to Book - - - 4.37 x 2.22 x 1.8 x 1.45 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 850,594 1,016,174 975,752 1,002,213 1,061,010 - -
Reference price 2 188.1 203.9 140.7 265.7 147.1 147.1 147.1
Announcement Date 2/25/21 2/25/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 284.4 9,457 27,010 45,287 123,851 153,028 225,493 266,830
EBITDA 1 - -348.3 -426.9 -2,441 9,212 8,808 17,104 21,763
EBIT 1 - -669.3 -1,017 -3,655 7,407 6,356 13,802 18,657
Operating Margin - -7.08% -3.77% -8.07% 5.98% 4.15% 6.12% 6.99%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - -188.9 -152.8 -2,159 10,452 9,633 17,648 23,276
Net income 1 - -792 -321.5 -2,012 11,704 9,370 16,848 21,325
Net margin - -8.37% -1.19% -4.44% 9.45% 6.12% 7.47% 7.99%
EPS 2 -12.74 -1.820 -0.3500 -2.070 11.10 7.683 13.82 18.39
Free Cash Flow 1 - 2,465 4,896 2,252 44,190 14,383 23,832 29,031
FCF margin - 26.07% 18.13% 4.97% 35.68% 9.4% 10.57% 10.88%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - 479.71% 163.3% 139.33% 133.39%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - 377.56% 153.5% 141.46% 136.14%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 7/10/20 2/25/21 2/25/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 10,620 9,562 8,733 9,342 17,650 18,787 28,653 34,679 41,732 25,634 32,758 42,265 48,162 37,784 49,008
EBITDA 1 - - -774.9 -1,750 295 763.7 2,040 - - - 2,281 3,165 6,722 5,763 5,873
EBIT 1 24.1 -413.1 -978.5 -2,130 -133.6 405.2 1,626 2,339 3,036 -584.9 533.5 2,118 4,687 3,917 3,869
Operating Margin 0.23% -4.32% -11.2% -22.8% -0.76% 2.16% 5.67% 6.75% 7.28% -2.28% 1.63% 5.01% 9.73% 10.37% 7.89%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 282.8 19.36 -645.3 -1,702 168.5 972.8 2,352 2,951 4,176 675.6 1,177 1,909 3,488 - -
Net income 1 295.5 -10.87 -618 -1,640 256.9 929.7 2,293 2,823 5,658 592.6 1,037 1,686 2,662 - -
Net margin 2.78% -0.11% -7.08% -17.56% 1.46% 4.95% 8% 8.14% 13.56% 2.31% 3.17% 3.99% 5.53% - -
EPS 2 0.2900 -0.0100 -0.6400 -1.680 0.2500 0.8900 2.180 2.670 5.320 0.5600 1.710 2.131 2.111 - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/25/22 5/10/22 8/15/22 12/9/22 2/27/23 5/10/23 8/8/23 11/9/23 2/26/24 5/20/24 - - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - 27,761 21,856 28,856 94,540 95,064 112,369 137,974
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 - 2,465 4,896 2,252 44,190 14,383 23,832 29,031
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) - -4.61% -0.91% -4.68% 22.3% 15.7% 20.8% 20.6%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - -3.45% -0.65% -2.71% 10.2% 5.26% 7.52% 7.86%
Assets 1 - 22,943 49,115 74,194 115,002 178,051 224,125 271,214
Book Value Per Share 2 - - - - 60.80 66.30 81.60 101.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 - 3.610 4.500 3.800 47.90 28.30 23.50 30.80
Capex 1 - 675 3,445 5,128 2,656 10,182 10,420 10,868
Capex / Sales - 7.14% 12.75% 11.32% 2.14% 6.65% 4.62% 4.07%
Announcement Date 7/10/20 2/25/21 2/25/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Li Auto Inc.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
147.1 CNY
Average target price
264.5 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+79.84%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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