Stock HOLM B HOLMEN AB
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Financials Holmen AB

Equities

HOLM B

SE0011090018

Paper Products

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 07:02:50 2024-05-14 am EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
447.4 SEK +0.81% Intraday chart for Holmen AB +0.63% +4.82%
Apr. 29 HOLMEN : Another Forest-driven quarter plus other divisional positives Alphavalue
Apr. 26 Transcript : Holmen AB, Q1 2024 Earnings Call, Apr 26, 2024

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 46,625 64,702 70,968 67,509 67,704 70,446 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 50,409 68,883 75,069 69,654 69,573 72,721 72,873 71,577
P/E ratio 5.42 x 32.3 x 23.5 x 11.4 x 18.5 x 22.8 x 21.2 x 19.2 x
Yield - 1.84% 1.73% 1.93% 2% 2.42% 2.73% 3.12%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.75 x 3.96 x 3.64 x 2.82 x 2.97 x 3.07 x 3.02 x 2.89 x
EV / Revenue 2.97 x 4.22 x 3.85 x 2.91 x 3.05 x 3.17 x 3.12 x 2.93 x
EV / EBITDA 14.5 x 18.9 x 14.1 x 8.09 x 11.4 x 13.5 x 12.8 x 11.7 x
EV / FCF 27.8 x 153 x 51.6 x 17.1 x 17 x 30 x 30.6 x 25.3 x
FCF Yield 3.59% 0.65% 1.94% 5.86% 5.89% 3.33% 3.27% 3.95%
Price to Book 1.21 x 1.5 x 1.5 x 1.18 x 1.2 x 1.22 x 1.19 x 1.15 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 161,926 161,926 161,926 162,002 159,222 159,222 - -
Reference price 2 285.2 393.6 434.7 413.9 425.7 443.8 443.8 443.8
Announcement Date 1/30/20 2/5/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 16,959 16,327 19,479 23,952 22,795 22,969 23,361 24,410
EBITDA 1 3,486 3,651 5,322 8,607 6,114 5,369 5,671 6,119
EBIT 1 2,345 2,479 4,061 7,262 4,755 3,983 4,292 4,714
Operating Margin 13.83% 15.18% 20.85% 30.32% 20.86% 17.34% 18.37% 19.31%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 11,081 2,437 3,691 7,441 4,705 3,948 4,250 4,549
Net income 1 8,731 1,979 3,004 5,874 3,697 3,117 3,348 3,686
Net margin 51.48% 12.12% 15.42% 24.52% 16.22% 13.57% 14.33% 15.1%
EPS 2 52.60 12.20 18.50 36.30 23.00 19.49 20.96 23.13
Free Cash Flow 1 1,812 451 1,454 4,083 4,099 2,425 2,384 2,825
FCF margin 10.68% 2.76% 7.46% 17.05% 17.98% 10.56% 10.21% 11.57%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 51.98% 12.35% 27.32% 47.44% 67.04% 45.17% 42.04% 46.17%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 20.75% 22.79% 48.4% 69.51% 110.87% 77.79% 71.2% 76.64%
Dividend per Share 2 - 7.250 7.500 8.000 8.500 10.75 12.13 13.85
Announcement Date 1/30/20 2/5/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 4,770 5,750 6,173 5,784 6,245 6,223 5,754 5,418 5,400 5,720 5,840 5,843 5,933 6,336 6,122
EBITDA 1 1,500 1,949 2,434 2,258 1,965 2,080 1,471 1,505 1,059 1,300 1,329 1,351 1,413 1,534 1,563
EBIT 1 1,185 1,617 2,101 1,921 1,622 1,737 1,138 1,166 714 944 977.1 998.9 1,061 1,185 1,220
Operating Margin 24.84% 28.12% 34.04% 33.21% 25.97% 27.91% 19.78% 21.52% 13.22% 16.5% 16.73% 17.09% 17.89% 18.71% 19.93%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 996 1,844 2,083 1,905 1,608 1,727 1,129 1,148 702 938 970.7 1,024 1,013 1,178 -
Net income 1 868 1,483 1,642 1,482 1,268 1,371 890 898 538 744 761.4 776 826.4 922.8 954
Net margin 18.2% 25.79% 26.6% 25.62% 20.3% 22.03% 15.47% 16.57% 9.96% 13.01% 13.04% 13.28% 13.93% 14.56% 15.58%
EPS 2 5.400 9.200 10.10 9.100 7.800 8.500 5.500 5.600 3.400 4.700 4.892 4.860 5.493 5.769 -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 1/28/22 4/28/22 8/19/22 10/20/22 1/31/23 4/28/23 8/17/23 10/25/23 1/31/24 4/26/24 - - - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 3,784 4,181 4,101 2,145 1,869 2,275 2,427 1,131
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.085 x 1.145 x 0.7706 x 0.2492 x 0.3057 x 0.4237 x 0.428 x 0.1848 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,812 451 1,454 4,083 4,099 2,425 2,384 2,825
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 7.8% 4.8% 7% 11% 7% 5.4% 5.77% 6.33%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 3.72% 3.25% 4.6% 7.82% 4.59% 3.7% 4.1% 4.8%
Assets 1 234,875 60,941 65,321 75,115 80,577 84,251 81,678 76,797
Book Value Per Share 2 237.0 262.0 289.0 352.0 354.0 365.0 373.0 386.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 17.40 15.10 19.90 33.90 36.10 26.20 28.50 29.50
Capex 1 1,072 2,006 1,775 1,401 1,706 2,138 2,016 1,700
Capex / Sales 6.32% 12.29% 9.11% 5.85% 7.48% 9.31% 8.63% 6.96%
Announcement Date 1/30/20 2/5/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Holmen AB

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
443.8 SEK
Average target price
434.6 SEK
Spread / Average Target
-2.07%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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