Financials Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.

Equities

VOLAR A

MX01VO000009

Airlines

End-of-day quote Mexican S.E. 06:00:00 2024-05-05 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
14.18 MXN -1.46% Intraday chart for Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. -1.39% -11.38%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 20,015 28,881 42,838 19,017 17,735 16,328 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 57,394 68,263 77,233 60,699 65,154 61,235 61,991 68,816
P/E ratio 7.58 x -5.9 x 20.2 x -29.6 x 93.5 x 11.9 x 8.7 x 4.01 x
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.58 x 1.3 x 0.96 x 0.36 x 0.32 x 0.32 x 0.29 x 0.26 x
EV / Revenue 1.65 x 3.08 x 1.73 x 1.16 x 1.17 x 1.19 x 1.11 x 1.1 x
EV / EBITDA 5.37 x 19.5 x 4.72 x 5.63 x 4.62 x 3.71 x 3.48 x 3.3 x
EV / FCF 8.29 x 79.5 x 6.39 x 12.7 x - 17.7 x 3.79 x -
FCF Yield 12.1% 1.26% 15.7% 7.88% - 5.65% 26.4% -
Price to Book 3.67 x 9.05 x 6.56 x 3.74 x 4.48 x 2.26 x 2.33 x 1.53 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,011,877 1,165,977 1,165,977 1,165,977 1,108,463 1,151,451 - -
Reference price 2 19.78 24.77 36.74 16.31 16.00 14.18 14.18 14.18
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/19/21 2/24/22 2/22/23 2/26/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 34,753 22,160 44,662 52,352 55,790 51,535 55,989 62,572
EBITDA 1 10,695 3,498 16,375 10,776 14,089 16,524 17,797 20,825
EBIT 1 4,355 -3,254 8,066 809.1 3,817 5,930 5,712 7,033
Operating Margin 12.53% -14.68% 18.06% 1.55% 6.84% 11.51% 10.2% 11.24%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 3,734 -5,700 2,714 -2,317 136.9 2,732 2,768 4,284
Net income 1 2,639 -4,294 2,121 -551.7 136.9 1,932 1,381 3,916
Net margin 7.59% -19.38% 4.75% -1.05% 0.25% 3.75% 2.47% 6.26%
EPS 2 2.610 -4.200 1.820 -0.5517 0.1712 1.188 1.631 3.535
Free Cash Flow 1 6,925 858.1 12,094 4,781 - 3,459 16,358 -
FCF margin 19.93% 3.87% 27.08% 9.13% - 6.71% 29.22% -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 64.75% 24.53% 73.85% 44.37% - 20.93% 91.91% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 262.43% - 570.19% - - 179.06% 1,184.91% -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/19/21 2/24/22 2/22/23 2/26/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 12,804 13,954 11,601 14,274 15,346 15,079 13,189 13,161 15,481 15,390 13,152 12,703 13,615 13,716 11,527
EBITDA 1 5,235 5,161 1,985 2,210 3,492 3,806 2,219 3,568 3,779 4,810 4,024 4,103 4,472 4,978 3,306
EBIT 1 3,123 3,032 -634.3 -413.1 698.5 1,103 -559.3 858.3 712 2,807 1,781 1,170 1,393 1,811 -63.39
Operating Margin 24.39% 21.73% -5.47% -2.89% 4.55% 7.32% -4.24% 6.52% 4.6% 18.24% 13.54% 9.21% 10.23% 13.21% -0.55%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 2,165 -600 -1,330 -1,673 -179.6 514.9 -1,732 134.6 -620.7 2,208 804.9 185.4 590.2 853.5 -
Net income 1 1,515 -200 -1,003 -1,012 798.2 514.9 -1,281 101 -712 1,917 565.1 137.3 409.7 625.7 -1,216
Net margin 11.83% -1.43% -8.64% -7.09% 5.2% 3.41% -9.71% 0.77% -4.6% 12.46% 4.3% 1.08% 3.01% 4.56% -10.55%
EPS 2 1.300 - - - 0.5987 - -1.083 - -0.5477 1.712 0.5138 0.1080 0.2777 0.4938 -0.9566
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 10/21/21 2/24/22 4/27/22 7/21/22 10/25/22 2/22/23 4/25/23 7/24/23 10/24/23 2/26/24 4/23/24 - - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 37,379 39,382 34,395 41,682 47,419 44,907 45,663 52,489
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.495 x 11.26 x 2.1 x 3.868 x 3.366 x 2.718 x 2.566 x 2.52 x
Free Cash Flow 1 6,925 858 12,094 4,781 - 3,459 16,358 -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 65.4% -89.6% 83.2% -10.2% 3.35% 35.9% 12.6% 36.7%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.4% -6.53% 5.16% -0.71% 0.17% 1.79% 1.57% -
Assets 1 60,017 65,745 41,089 78,161 82,450 107,675 87,688 -
Book Value Per Share 2 5.390 2.740 5.600 4.360 3.570 6.270 6.090 9.270
Cash Flow per Share 2 9.360 4.270 13.60 9.670 10.70 6.860 6.560 9.690
Capex 1 2,584 3,501 3,775 6,229 - 6,188 7,069 5,834
Capex / Sales 7.44% 15.8% 8.45% 11.9% - 12.01% 12.63% 9.32%
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/19/21 2/24/22 2/22/23 2/26/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
14.18 MXN
Average target price
21.1 MXN
Spread / Average Target
+48.80%
Consensus
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