CONFLUENT, INC. |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 31.72 USD | +3.44% |
|
+1.31% | +35.85% |
| May. 13 | Confluent Insider Sold Shares Worth $1,975,599, According to a Recent SEC Filing | MT |
| May. 13 | Confluent Insider Sold Shares Worth $2,231,961, According to a Recent SEC Filing | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 20,164 | 6,370 | 7,204 | 9,748 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 19,228 | 5,527 | 6,392 | 8,503 | 8,440 | 8,106 |
| P/E ratio | -41.9 x | -13.7 x | -15.9 x | -29.7 x | -34.7 x | -33.9 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 52 x | 10.9 x | 9.27 x | 10.2 x | 8.17 x | 6.52 x |
| EV / Revenue | 49.6 x | 9.43 x | 8.23 x | 8.87 x | 7.07 x | 5.43 x |
| EV / EBITDA | -122 x | -32.7 x | -147 x | 432 x | 112 x | 50.3 x |
| EV / FCF | -169 x | -32.2 x | -51.4 x | 2,939 x | 138 x | 58.2 x |
| FCF Yield | -0.59% | -3.11% | -1.95% | 0.03% | 0.72% | 1.72% |
| Price to Book | 24.5 x | 8.36 x | - | 12 x | 11.1 x | 8.85 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 264,474 | 286,402 | 307,875 | 317,835 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 76.24 | 22.24 | 23.40 | 30.67 | 30.67 | 30.67 |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 1/30/23 | 2/7/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | - | 387.9 | 585.9 | 777 | 959 | 1,194 | 1,494 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | -157 | -169.3 | -43.43 | 19.7 | 75.65 | 161.1 |
| EBIT 1 | - | -160.6 | -176.9 | -57.34 | 1.528 | 61.55 | 150.4 |
| Operating Margin | - | -41.41% | -30.19% | -7.38% | 0.16% | 5.16% | 10.07% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | -339.6 | -446.3 | -406.7 | -319.2 | -285.3 | -156.8 |
| Net income 1 | -229.8 | -342.8 | -452.6 | -442.7 | -340.9 | -306.6 | -330.7 |
| Net margin | - | -88.38% | -77.24% | -56.98% | -35.55% | -25.69% | -22.13% |
| EPS 2 | -2.210 | -1.820 | -1.620 | -1.470 | -1.034 | -0.8827 | -0.9059 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -114 | -171.8 | -124.3 | 2.893 | 60.95 | 139.3 |
| FCF margin | - | -29.39% | -29.32% | -16% | 0.3% | 5.11% | 9.33% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | 14.69% | 80.57% | 86.51% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 6/1/21 | 2/10/22 | 1/30/23 | 2/7/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 119.9 | 126.1 | 139.4 | 151.7 | 168.7 | 174.3 | 189.3 | 200.2 | 213.2 | 217.2 | 230.1 | 246.5 | 265.6 | 270.2 | 286.4 |
| EBITDA 1 | -48.46 | -50.42 | -44.96 | -40.06 | -33.84 | -37.21 | -14.09 | -7.313 | 15.17 | 1.034 | 2.118 | 4.421 | 12.13 | 10.28 | 14.52 |
| EBIT 1 | -49.66 | -51.67 | -46.77 | -42.14 | -36.3 | -40.33 | -17.34 | -10.92 | 11.25 | -3.277 | -1.972 | -0.4306 | 8.153 | 6.542 | 11.85 |
| Operating Margin | -41.4% | -40.97% | -33.55% | -27.77% | -21.52% | -23.14% | -9.16% | -5.46% | 5.28% | -1.51% | -0.86% | -0.17% | 3.07% | 2.42% | 4.14% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -114 | -112.3 | -116.1 | -114.2 | -103.7 | -150.9 | -101.8 | -91.1 | -62.9 | -90.5 | -78.69 | -82.36 | -73.05 | -74.78 | -75.8 |
| Net income 1 | -114.4 | -113 | -117.6 | -116 | -105.9 | -152.6 | -103.4 | -92.67 | -94.1 | -92.97 | -84.31 | -84.46 | -79.84 | -79.02 | -77.7 |
| Net margin | -95.42% | -89.57% | -84.38% | -76.48% | -62.76% | -87.52% | -54.64% | -46.29% | -44.14% | -42.8% | -36.64% | -34.27% | -30.07% | -29.25% | -27.13% |
| EPS 2 | -0.4300 | -0.4100 | -0.4200 | -0.4100 | -0.3700 | -0.5200 | -0.3500 | -0.3000 | -0.3000 | -0.3000 | -0.2519 | -0.2566 | -0.2395 | -0.2494 | -0.2451 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 5/5/22 | 8/3/22 | 11/2/22 | 1/30/23 | 5/3/23 | 8/2/23 | 11/1/23 | 2/7/24 | 5/7/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | 935 | 842 | 812 | 1,245 | 1,308 | 1,642 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -114 | -172 | -124 | 2.89 | 61 | 139 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | -59.8% | -55.9% | -56% | 9.06% | 12.7% | 14.6% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | -23.9% | -19.3% | -18.4% | 2.88% | 4.15% | 4.46% |
| Assets 1 | - | 1,434 | 2,344 | 2,403 | -11,855 | -7,386 | -7,417 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | - | 3.120 | 2.660 | - | 2.560 | 2.770 | 3.460 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | - | -0.5600 | -0.5600 | -0.3400 | 0.0700 | 0.3000 | - |
| Capex 1 | - | 8.94 | 14.5 | 20.7 | 23 | 26 | 30.5 |
| Capex / Sales | - | 2.31% | 2.47% | 2.66% | 2.4% | 2.17% | 2.04% |
| Announcement Date | 6/1/21 | 2/10/22 | 1/30/23 | 2/7/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
30.67
USD
Average target price
35.25
USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.92%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +31.07% | 9.75B | |
| -20.22% | 213B | |
| -10.57% | 65.5B | |
| -4.46% | 55.75B | |
| -11.36% | 46.17B | |
| -3.81% | 39.05B | |
| -7.47% | 33.84B | |
| -10.20% | 28.45B | |
| +109.39% | 27.45B | |
| +3.18% | 21.62B |
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