STELCO HOLDINGS INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 42.2 CAD | -0.07% |
|
-1.79% | -15.92% |
| May. 09 | Transcript : Stelco Holdings Inc., Q1 2024 Earnings Call, May 09, 2024 | |
| May. 09 | Stelco Holdings Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2024 | CI |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 968 | 2,016 | 3,187 | 2,442 | 2,767 | 2,320 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 809 | 2,085 | 2,316 | 2,442 | 2,175 | 1,715 | 1,600 | 2,320 |
| P/E ratio | 47.4 x | -12.7 x | 2.16 x | 3.03 x | 18.6 x | 8.45 x | 7.94 x | - |
| Yield | 3.67% | 0.44% | 1.7% | - | 9.32% | 6.17% | 4.83% | 4.74% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.53 x | 1.33 x | 0.77 x | 0.71 x | 0.95 x | 0.8 x | 0.82 x | 0.78 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.44 x | 1.37 x | 0.56 x | 0.71 x | 0.75 x | 0.59 x | 0.57 x | 0.78 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.74 x | 27.8 x | 1.13 x | 2.05 x | 4.49 x | 3.19 x | 3.05 x | 4.23 x |
| EV / FCF | -4.13 x | -9.39 x | 1.69 x | - | 41 x | 6.1 x | 7.48 x | - |
| FCF Yield | -24.2% | -10.6% | 59.2% | - | 2.44% | 16.4% | 13.4% | - |
| Price to Book | 2.15 x | 7.18 x | 2.22 x | - | 2.13 x | 1.73 x | 1.61 x | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 88,729 | 88,713 | 77,315 | 55,129 | 55,129 | 54,967 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 10.91 | 22.73 | 41.22 | 44.29 | 50.19 | 42.20 | 42.20 | 42.20 |
| Announcement Date | 2/18/20 | 2/17/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,841 | 1,517 | 4,123 | 3,463 | 2,917 | 2,886 | 2,825 | 2,959 |
| EBITDA 1 | 141 | 75 | 2,055 | 1,193 | 484 | 537.1 | 525 | 548.5 |
| EBIT 1 | 50 | -7 | 1,983 | 1,085 | 309 | 412.5 | 387.7 | - |
| Operating Margin | 2.72% | -0.46% | 48.1% | 31.33% | 10.59% | 14.29% | 13.73% | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 20 | -159 | 1,782 | 1,260 | 199 | 363.7 | 359.5 | - |
| Net income 1 | 20 | -159 | 1,609 | 997 | 149 | 264.4 | 288.8 | - |
| Net margin | 1.09% | -10.48% | 39.02% | 28.79% | 5.11% | 9.16% | 10.23% | - |
| EPS 2 | 0.2300 | -1.790 | 19.08 | 14.64 | 2.700 | 4.996 | 5.313 | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -196 | -222 | 1,371 | - | 53 | 281.2 | 213.8 | - |
| FCF margin | -10.65% | -14.63% | 33.25% | - | 1.82% | 9.74% | 7.57% | - |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | 66.72% | - | 10.95% | 52.36% | 40.73% | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | 85.21% | - | 35.57% | 106.36% | 74.02% | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.4000 | 0.1000 | 0.7000 | - | 4.680 | 2.602 | 2.040 | 2.000 |
| Announcement Date | 2/18/20 | 2/17/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,186 | 906 | 1,037 | 846 | 674 | 687 | 841 | 776 | 613 | 746 | 723 | 702 | 700.2 | 685.1 | 685.6 |
| EBITDA 1 | 673 | 402 | 464 | 245 | 82 | 65 | 215 | 153 | 51 | 153 | 129 | 131.6 | 128 | 150.5 | 133.7 |
| EBIT 1 | 653 | 381 | 440 | 217 | 47 | 18 | 186 | 121 | -16 | 121 | 94.33 | 106 | 101.7 | 100 | 79 |
| Operating Margin | 55.06% | 42.05% | 42.43% | 25.65% | 6.97% | 2.62% | 22.12% | 15.59% | -2.61% | 16.22% | 13.05% | 15.1% | 14.52% | 14.6% | 11.52% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 617 | 351 | 674 | 207 | - | - | 157 | 90 | -34 | 84 | 95 | 92 | 92 | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 513 | 262 | 554 | 158 | - | -11 | 117 | 68 | -25 | 63 | 71 | 69 | 69 | - | - |
| Net margin | 43.25% | 28.92% | 53.42% | 18.68% | - | -1.6% | 13.91% | 8.76% | -4.08% | 8.45% | 9.82% | 9.83% | 9.85% | - | - |
| EPS 2 | 6.640 | 3.520 | 7.670 | 2.330 | 1.010 | -0.2000 | 2.120 | 1.230 | -0.4500 | 1.140 | 1.307 | 1.269 | 1.275 | 1.590 | 1.490 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.3000 | 0.3000 | 0.3000 | 0.3000 | - | 0.4200 | 0.4200 | 0.4200 | 3.420 | - | 0.5000 | 0.5000 | 1.500 | 0.5000 | 0.5000 |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 5/5/22 | 8/10/22 | 11/15/22 | 2/22/23 | 5/10/23 | 8/9/23 | 11/8/23 | 2/21/24 | 5/8/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | 69 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | 159 | - | 871 | - | 592 | 605 | 720 | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.92 x | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -196 | -222 | 1,371 | - | 53 | 281 | 214 | - |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 3.93% | -14.2% | 187% | - | 16.1% | 17.7% | 16% | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 1.23% | - | 64.2% | - | 7.04% | 7.77% | 7.62% | - |
| Assets 1 | 1,625 | - | 2,508 | - | 2,117 | 3,401 | 3,789 | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 5.070 | 3.170 | 18.60 | - | 23.50 | 24.40 | 26.20 | - |
| Cash Flow per Share | 0.1600 | 0.0500 | 19.10 | - | 4.520 | - | - | - |
| Capex 1 | 210 | 226 | 236 | - | 196 | 176 | 165 | 160 |
| Capex / Sales | 11.41% | 14.9% | 5.72% | - | 6.72% | 6.1% | 5.83% | 5.41% |
| Announcement Date | 2/18/20 | 2/17/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
D
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
42.2
CAD
Average target price
51.93
CAD
Spread / Average Target
+23.05%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -15.92% | 1.7B | |
| -1.10% | 41.27B | |
| +20.36% | 25.06B | |
| -20.32% | 22.32B | |
| -5.47% | 21.62B | |
| +13.40% | 21.04B | |
| +1.61% | 19.45B | |
| +4.66% | 9.37B | |
| -14.25% | 8.33B | |
| +36.80% | 8.28B |
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- Financials Stelco Holdings Inc.