NEODECORTECH S.P.A. Document published on
9 May 2023 at 9:52am CET
FINANCIAL DATA
Income Statement
12/20 | 12/21 | 12/22 | 12/23e | 12/24e | 12/25e |
Sales | 127.8 | 176.4 | 196.5 | 176.9 | 183.0 | 187.3 |
Changes (%) | -3.9 | 38.0 | 11.4 | -10.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
Gross profit | 55.3 | 65.1 | 70.8 | 65.4 | 68.3 | 70.2 |
% of Sales | 43.3 | 36.9 | 36.0 | 37.0 | 37.3 | 37.5 |
EBITDA | 14.6 | 18.1 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 15.9 | 17.5 |
% of Sales | 11.4 | 10.3 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 9.4 |
Current operating profit | 5.5 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 8.1 |
% of Sales | 4.3 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 4.3 |
Non-recurring items | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
EBIT | 5.5 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 8.1 |
Net financial result | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
Income Tax | -0.5 | -1.3 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.8 | -1.0 |
Tax rate (%) | 13.0 | 16.6 | 8.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
Net profit, group share | 3.5 | 6.7 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 6.9 |
EPS | 0.27 | 0.49 | 0.59 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.48 |
Financial Statement | 12/20 | 12/21 | 12/22 | 12/23e | 12/24e | 12/25e |
Goodwill | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Tangible and intangible assets | 79.4 | 80.1 | 79.4 | 79.0 | 78.5 | 78.1 |
Right of Use | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Financial assets | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Working capital | 29.5 | 27.2 | 36.2 | 38.5 | 36.4 | 31.3 |
Other Assets | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
Assets | 113.0 | 111.1 | 118.4 | 120.2 | 117.7 | 112.1 |
Shareholders equity group | 61.7 | 70.5 | 77.3 | 79.9 | 83.4 | 88.3 |
Minorities | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
LT & ST provisions and others | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Net debt | 39.9 | 29.3 | 30.7 | 29.9 | 23.9 | 13.4 |
Other liabilities | 9.0 | 8.7 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 |
Liabilities | 113.0 | 111.1 | 118.4 | 120.2 | 117.7 | 112.1 |
Net debt excl. IFRS 16 | 39.9 | 29.3 | 30.7 | 29.9 | 23.9 | 13.4 |
Gearing net | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Leverage | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Cash flow statement | 12/20 | 12/21 | 12/22 | 12/23e | 12/24e | 12/25e |
CF after elimination of net borrowing costs and taxes | 11.9 | 15.8 | 14.7 | 14.1 | 14.9 | 16.3 |
∆WCR | -2.9 | 2.1 | -9.1 | -2.3 | 2.1 | 5.1 |
Operating cash flow | 9.0 | 18.0 | 5.6 | 11.8 | 17.1 | 21.5 |
Net capex | -6.4 | -9.7 | -9.2 | -9.0 | -9.0 | -9.0 |
FCF | 2.6 | 8.2 | -3.6 | 2.8 | 8.1 | 12.5 |
Acquisitions/Disposals of subsidiaries | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
Other investments | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Change in borrowings | 3.9 | -4.7 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Dividends paid | -1.9 | -1.2 | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
Repayment of leasing debt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Equity Transaction | -0.1 | 3.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Others | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Change in net cash over the year | 4.1 | 6.0 | -1.4 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 10.4 |
ROA (%) | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% |
ROE (%) | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% |
ROCE (%) | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% |
Classification: Internal | 2 |
EQUITY RESEARCH | TP ICAP MIDCAP | 42 rue Washington, 75008 Paris | More on www.midcapp.com |
Document published on
9 May 2023 at 9:52am CET
DISCLAIMER
Analyst certifications
This research report (the "Report") has been approved by Midcap, a business division of TP ICAP (Europe) SA ("Midcap"), an Investment Services Provider authorised and regulated by the Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution ("ACPR"). By issuing this Report, each Midcap analyst and associate whose name appears within this Report hereby certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed in the Report accurately reflect the research analyst's and associate's personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers discussed herein and (ii) no part of the research analyst's or associate's compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst or associate in the Report.
Methodology
This Report may mention evaluation methods defined as follows:
- DCF method: discounting of future cash flows generated by the company's operations. Cash flows are determined by the analyst's financial forecasts and models. The discount rate used corresponds to the weighted average cost of capital, which is defined as the weighted average cost of the company's debt and the theoretical cost of its equity as estimated by the analyst.
- Comparable method: application of market valuation multiples or those observed in recent transactions. These multiples can be used as references and applied to the company's financial aggregates to deduce its valuation. The sample is selected by the analyst based on the characteristics of the company (size, growth, profitability, etc.). The analyst may also apply a premium/discount depending on his perception of the company's characteristics.
- Assets and liabilities method: estimate of the value of equity capital based on revalued assets adjusted for the value of the debt.
- Discounted dividend method: discounting of estimated future dividend flows. The discount rate used is generally the cost of capital.
- Sum of the parts: this method consists of estimating the various activities of a company using the most appropriate valuation method for each of them, then realizing the sum of the parts.
Conflict of Interests between TP ICAP Midcap and the Issuer
G. Midcap and the Issuer have agreed to the provision by the former to the latter of a service for the production and distribution of the investment recommendation on the said Issuer: Neodecortech
H. TPICAP Midcap prepared this document on behalf of BPER Banca S.p.A acting as specialist in accordance with article 2.3.4 of Rules of the Markets (and related instructions) organized and managed by Borsa Italiana S.p.A.: Neodecortech
History of investment rating and target price - Neodecortech
TARGET PRICE AND RATING HISTORY FOR | ||||||||||||||
8 May | 29 Jun | 22 Oct | 1 Feb | 19 Apr | 12 May | 6 Jul | 8 Sep | 23 Feb | 16 Mar | |||||
Buy : €4.6 | Buy : €4.4 | Buy : €4.6 | Buy : €4.8 | Buy : €5.5 | Buy : €5.7 | Buy : €5.8 | Buy : €6.4 | Buy : €6.3 | Buy : €5.8 | |||||
5 | 180 | |||||||||||||
5 | 160 | |||||||||||||
4 | ||||||||||||||
4 | 140 | |||||||||||||
3 | 120 | |||||||||||||
2 | ||||||||||||||
2 | Jul-20 | Oct-20 | Jan-21 | May-21 | Aug-21 | Nov-21 | Feb-22 | May-22 | Aug-22 | Nov-22 | Feb-23 | 100 | ||
Apr-20 | May-23 | |||||||||||||
12 May | 16 May | 16 Mar | ||||||||||||
Buy : €5.2 | Buy : €5.3 | Buy : €4.7 | ||||||||||||
Neodecortech (L Axis) | FTSE Italy (R Axis) | Data source: FactSet Prices and Ratings | ||||||||||||
Classification: Internal | 3 |
EQUITY RESEARCH | TP ICAP MIDCAP | 42 rue Washington, 75008 Paris | More on www.midcapp.com |
Document published on | ||
9 May 2023 at 9:52am CET | ||
Distribution of Investment Ratings | ||
Rating | Recommendation Universe* | Portion of these provided with investment |
banking services** | ||
Buy | 82% | 65% |
Hold | 16% | 42% |
Sell | 1% | 0% |
Under review | 1% | 0% |
Midcap employs a rating system based on the following:
Buy: Expected to outperform the markets by 10% or more over a 6 to 12 months horizon.
Hold: expected performance between -10% and +10% compared to the market over a 6 to 12 months horizon.
Sell: Stock is expected underperform the markets by 10% or more over a 6 to 12 months horizon.
The history of ratings and target prices for the Issuers covered in this report are available on request at https://researchtpicap.midcapp.com/en/disclaimer.
Classification: Internal | 4 |
EQUITY RESEARCH | TP ICAP MIDCAP | 42 rue Washington, 75008 Paris | More on www.midcapp.com |
Document published on
9 May 2023 at 9:52am CET
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Classification: Internal | 5 |
EQUITY RESEARCH | TP ICAP MIDCAP | 42 rue Washington, 75008 Paris | More on www.midcapp.com |
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Neodecortech S.p.A. published this content on 11 May 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 May 2023 10:43:08 UTC.
