Stock MODEL B MODELON AB
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Financials Modelon AB

Equities

MODEL B

SE0015948591

Software

Delayed Nasdaq Stockholm
Other stock markets
 04:24:23 2024-05-28 am EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
9.4 SEK -2.08% Intraday chart for Modelon AB -11.32% -5.05%
May. 14 Transcript : Modelon AB, Q1 2024 Earnings Call, May 14, 2024
May. 14 Modelon AB Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2024 CI

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 386.1 159.2 109.1 105.8 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 216.7 47.33 50.07 90.46 -89.58 105.8
P/E ratio -13.5 x -2.46 x -1.96 x 23.6 x 5.92 x -
Yield - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 5.38 x 2.31 x 1.36 x 0.88 x 0.7 x 0.66 x
EV / Revenue 3.02 x 0.69 x 0.63 x 0.75 x -0.6 x 0.66 x
EV / EBITDA -5.61 x -0.74 x -0.89 x -5.12 x -3.88 x -
EV / FCF -11.1 x -0.81 x -0.95 x -2.06 x - -
FCF Yield -8.99% -123% -105% -48.6% - -
Price to Book 2,232 x 1,449 x 2.02 x 118 x 118 x -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,016 11,016 11,016 11,016 - -
Reference price 2 35.05 14.45 9.900 9.600 9.600 9.600
Announcement Date 3/4/22 3/3/23 2/29/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 117.1 71.8 68.9 79.9 119.9 150.3 159.9
EBITDA 1 - -38.6 -63.7 -56.1 -17.66 23.09 -
EBIT 1 - -39.4 -64.6 -57.2 -18.21 4.397 14.3
Operating Margin - -54.87% -93.76% -71.59% -15.19% 2.92% 8.94%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - -39.2 -64.6 -55.4 -17.76 22.89 -
Net income 1 3.3 -28.5 -64.8 -55.6 -17.76 17.86 -
Net margin 2.82% -39.69% -94.05% -69.59% -14.82% 11.88% -
EPS 2 - -2.590 -5.880 -5.050 0.4063 1.621 -
Free Cash Flow 1 - -19.47 -58.3 -52.5 -44 - -
FCF margin - -27.12% -84.62% -65.71% -36.71% - -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/15/21 3/4/22 3/3/23 2/29/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Net sales 1 16.1 18.1 15.4 16.4 18.9 18.4 - 21 18.3 24.5 25.6 26.7
EBITDA -11.9 - - -15.6 - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 -12.1 - - -15.9 - -18.3 - -14.6 -14.4 -10.2 -9.2 -8.2
Operating Margin -75.16% - - -96.95% - -99.46% - -69.52% -78.69% -41.63% -35.94% -30.71%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) -11.9 - - - - - - - - - - -
Net income -1.2 - - - - - -11.6 - - - - -
Net margin -7.45% - - - - - - - - - - -
EPS -0.1100 - - -1.450 - - -1.050 - - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/4/22 5/17/22 8/24/22 11/11/22 3/3/23 5/16/23 11/10/23 2/29/24 5/14/24 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - 169 112 59 15.3 195 -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 - -19.5 -58.3 -52.5 -44 - -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) - - -45.8% - -119% - -
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 - 0.0200 0.0100 4.890 0.0800 0.0800 -
Cash Flow per Share - - - - - - -
Capex 1 - - 2.7 0.3 1 - -
Capex / Sales - - 3.92% 0.38% 0.83% - -
Announcement Date 3/15/21 3/4/22 3/3/23 2/29/24 - - -
1SEK in Million2SEK
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Modelon AB

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
9.6 SEK
Average target price
35 SEK
Spread / Average Target
+264.58%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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