Financials Milkyway Chemical Supply Chain Service Co.,Ltd

Equities

603713

CNE1000036C0

Air Freight & Logistics

End-of-day quote Shanghai S.E. 06:00:00 2024-05-20 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
66.39 CNY -1.43% Intraday chart for Milkyway Chemical Supply Chain Service Co.,Ltd +7.08% +24.77%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 6,107 20,269 22,169 19,177 8,742 10,749 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 6,107 20,269 22,951 20,988 11,644 13,058 13,113 14,081
P/E ratio 31.1 x 70.3 x 50.6 x 32.8 x 21 x 19.7 x 14.8 x 13.3 x
Yield - 0.2% 0.29% 0.47% 1% 0.86% 1.03% 1.09%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.52 x 5.91 x 2.56 x 1.66 x 0.9 x 0.92 x 0.79 x 0.67 x
EV / Revenue 2.52 x 5.91 x 2.65 x 1.81 x 1.19 x 1.12 x 0.97 x 0.88 x
EV / EBITDA 18.9 x 46.1 x 34.6 x 23.6 x 15.4 x 10.9 x 9.17 x 8.68 x
EV / FCF - - -119,983,392 x -154,691,495 x - - - -
FCF Yield - - -0% -0% - - - -
Price to Book 4.26 x 11.8 x 7.03 x 5.11 x 2.19 x 2.44 x 2.06 x 1.89 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 152,474 154,737 164,484 164,385 164,294 161,903 - -
Reference price 2 40.05 131.0 134.8 116.7 53.21 66.39 66.39 66.39
Announcement Date 4/1/20 3/30/21 3/24/22 3/21/23 4/11/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 2,419 3,427 8,645 11,576 9,753 11,648 13,559 16,008
EBITDA 1 322.8 439.6 662.5 890.4 754.8 1,195 1,431 1,623
EBIT 1 238.9 336.1 530.2 709 571.5 797.7 968.3 1,123
Operating Margin 9.88% 9.81% 6.13% 6.12% 5.86% 6.85% 7.14% 7.02%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 250.1 349.4 527.9 729.3 607.6 740.5 956.9 1,077
Net income 1 196.1 288.5 431.8 605.4 431.3 554.9 736 820.7
Net margin 8.11% 8.42% 4.99% 5.23% 4.42% 4.76% 5.43% 5.13%
EPS 2 1.286 1.864 2.665 3.559 2.538 3.377 4.480 4.993
Free Cash Flow - - -191.3 -135.7 - - - -
FCF margin - - -2.21% -1.17% - - - -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.2600 0.3900 0.5500 0.5300 0.5733 0.6846 0.7250
Announcement Date 4/1/20 3/30/21 3/24/22 3/21/23 4/11/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Net sales 1 2,695 3,060 3,209 - 2,824 2,482 2,349 2,178 3,099 2,126 2,896 3,001 3,034 3,159
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 161.2 164.1 213.1 - 213.7 118.1 126 171.9 209 64.63 201.6 234.7 233.4 212.5
Operating Margin 5.98% 5.36% 6.64% - 7.56% 4.76% 5.36% 7.89% 6.75% 3.04% 6.96% 7.82% 7.69% 6.73%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net income 130.3 133.6 170.4 304.1 172.4 - - - - - - - - -
Net margin 4.84% 4.37% 5.31% - 6.1% - - - - - - - - -
EPS - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/24/22 4/28/22 7/26/22 7/26/22 10/24/22 3/21/23 4/27/23 8/14/23 10/25/23 4/11/24 4/11/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - 781 1,811 2,902 2,310 2,365 3,332
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 1.179 x 2.034 x 3.845 x 1.933 x 1.653 x 2.054 x
Free Cash Flow - - -191 -136 - - - -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 14.6% 18.3% 17.8% 17.5% 11% 12.4% 14.7% 14.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 8.86% 9.24% 7.86% 7.21% - 5.05% 5.55% 6.1%
Assets 1 2,213 3,124 5,493 8,392 - 10,988 13,262 13,453
Book Value Per Share 2 9.410 11.10 19.20 22.80 24.30 27.20 32.30 35.10
Cash Flow per Share 2 1.390 2.190 1.230 3.730 4.290 4.750 5.490 8.410
Capex 1 188 102 351 748 521 406 550 689
Capex / Sales 7.78% 2.99% 4.06% 6.46% 5.34% 3.48% 4.05% 4.31%
Announcement Date 4/1/20 3/30/21 3/24/22 3/21/23 4/11/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
66.39 CNY
Average target price
74.18 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+11.73%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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