HF SINCLAIR CORPORATION |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 56.75 USD | +4.28% |
|
+0.33% | -2.07% |
| May. 08 | Sector Update: Energy Stocks Lean Lower Premarket Wednesday | MT |
| May. 08 | HF Sinclair's Q1 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Fall; $1 Billion Share Buyback Plan Approved | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 8,184 | 4,188 | 5,327 | 10,416 | 11,114 | 11,093 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 9,755 | 5,963 | 8,165 | 12,006 | 12,499 | 12,343 | 12,080 | 12,131 |
| P/E ratio | 11 x | -6.95 x | 9.67 x | 3.63 x | 6.7 x | 8.24 x | 9.59 x | 9.06 x |
| Yield | 2.64% | 5.42% | 1.07% | 2.31% | 3.24% | 3.46% | 3.53% | 3.56% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.47 x | 0.37 x | 0.29 x | 0.27 x | 0.35 x | 0.38 x | 0.37 x | 0.38 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.56 x | 0.53 x | 0.44 x | 0.31 x | 0.39 x | 0.42 x | 0.4 x | 0.41 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.69 x | 14.5 x | 8.92 x | 2.54 x | 3.9 x | 5.42 x | 5.22 x | 5.34 x |
| EV / FCF | 7.77 x | 46.7 x | -20.1 x | 3.69 x | 6.54 x | 10 x | 11.5 x | 11.6 x |
| FCF Yield | 12.9% | 2.14% | -4.98% | 27.1% | 15.3% | 9.98% | 8.72% | 8.65% |
| Price to Book | 1.42 x | 0.81 x | 0.94 x | 1.11 x | 1.09 x | 1.06 x | 0.99 x | 0.91 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 161,390 | 162,017 | 162,496 | 200,731 | 199,997 | 192,157 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 50.71 | 25.85 | 32.78 | 51.89 | 55.57 | 57.73 | 57.73 | 57.73 |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/24/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/24/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 17,487 | 11,184 | 18,389 | 38,205 | 31,964 | 29,297 | 30,258 | 29,341 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,715 | 412.2 | 915.7 | 4,734 | 3,207 | 2,279 | 2,316 | 2,271 |
| EBIT 1 | 1,289 | -127.7 | 357.9 | 4,179 | 2,514 | 1,752 | 1,543 | 1,494 |
| Operating Margin | 7.37% | -1.14% | 1.95% | 10.94% | 7.87% | 5.98% | 5.1% | 5.09% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,172 | -747 | 787.2 | 3,936 | 2,153 | 1,568 | 1,395 | 1,414 |
| Net income 1 | 772.4 | -601.4 | 558.3 | 2,923 | 1,590 | 1,221 | 1,078 | 1,082 |
| Net margin | 4.42% | -5.38% | 3.04% | 7.65% | 4.97% | 4.17% | 3.56% | 3.69% |
| EPS 2 | 4.610 | -3.720 | 3.390 | 14.28 | 8.290 | 7.008 | 6.018 | 6.370 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 1,255 | 127.7 | -406.7 | 3,253 | 1,912 | 1,232 | 1,054 | 1,050 |
| FCF margin | 7.18% | 1.14% | -2.21% | 8.52% | 5.98% | 4.2% | 3.48% | 3.58% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 73.19% | 30.99% | - | 68.72% | 59.61% | 54.03% | 45.48% | 46.22% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 162.46% | - | - | 111.31% | 120.27% | 100.85% | 97.73% | 97.02% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1.340 | 1.400 | 0.3500 | 1.200 | 1.800 | 2.000 | 2.035 | 2.057 |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/24/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/24/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 5,623 | 7,459 | 11,162 | 10,599 | 8,985 | 7,565 | 7,834 | 8,905 | 7,660 | 7,027 | 7,743 | 7,602 | 6,925 | 7,163 | 7,370 |
| EBITDA 1 | 126 | 376.7 | 1,853 | 1,500 | 1,004 | 704.8 | 868.2 | 1,206 | 427.7 | 399.1 | 580.1 | 707.3 | 416 | 515.9 | 690.9 |
| EBIT 1 | 6.877 | 250.3 | 1,714 | 1,375 | 838.9 | 556.6 | 700.4 | 1,034 | 223 | 192.5 | 603.7 | 577 | 371.1 | 342.7 | 465.5 |
| Operating Margin | 0.12% | 3.36% | 15.36% | 12.98% | 9.34% | 7.36% | 8.94% | 11.61% | 2.91% | 2.74% | 7.8% | 7.59% | 5.36% | 4.79% | 6.32% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -43.15 | 206.6 | 1,636 | 1,280 | 813 | 484.7 | 680.4 | 1,060 | -72.68 | 402.1 | 704.2 | 566.5 | 238.8 | 266.3 | 501 |
| Net income 1 | -39.53 | 160 | 1,221 | 954.4 | 587 | 353.3 | 507.7 | 790.9 | -62.18 | 314.7 | 291.2 | 409.3 | 186.6 | 185.4 | 353.4 |
| Net margin | -0.7% | 2.14% | 10.94% | 9% | 6.53% | 4.67% | 6.48% | 8.88% | -0.81% | 4.48% | 3.76% | 5.38% | 2.69% | 2.59% | 4.79% |
| EPS 2 | -0.2400 | 0.9000 | 5.430 | 4.450 | 2.920 | 1.790 | 2.620 | 4.230 | -0.3400 | 1.570 | 1.985 | 2.295 | 1.175 | 1.113 | 1.940 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | 0.4000 | 0.4000 | 0.4000 | 0.4500 | 0.4500 | 0.4500 | 0.4500 | - | 0.5000 | 0.5000 | 0.5000 | 0.5302 | 0.5302 |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 5/9/22 | 8/8/22 | 11/7/22 | 2/24/23 | 5/4/23 | 8/3/23 | 11/2/23 | 2/21/24 | 5/8/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,570 | 1,774 | 2,838 | 1,590 | 1,385 | 1,250 | 987 | 1,038 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.916 x | 4.304 x | 3.1 x | 0.3359 x | 0.432 x | 0.5482 x | 0.4262 x | 0.457 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 1,255 | 128 | -407 | 3,253 | 1,912 | 1,232 | 1,054 | 1,050 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 13.8% | -2.51% | 4.61% | 39.1% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 11% | 11.2% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 7.1% | -1.18% | 2.05% | 18.8% | 8.87% | 6.92% | 6.2% | 6.9% |
| Assets 1 | 10,886 | 50,897 | 27,262 | 15,521 | 17,921 | 17,657 | 17,391 | 15,678 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 35.70 | 31.90 | 35.00 | 46.90 | 51.20 | 54.20 | 58.30 | 63.50 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 9.250 | 2.830 | 2.500 | 18.60 | 12.10 | 9.140 | 9.470 | 9.260 |
| Capex 1 | 294 | 330 | 813 | 524 | 385 | 517 | 570 | 600 |
| Capex / Sales | 1.68% | 2.95% | 4.42% | 1.37% | 1.21% | 1.76% | 1.88% | 2.05% |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/24/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/24/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
57.73
USD
Average target price
66.38
USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.98%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -2.07% | 11.09B | |
| +4.34% | 19.72B | |
| +30.91% | 11.3B | |
| +38.96% | 9.08B | |
| +4.48% | 7.74B | |
| +57.97% | 4.5B | |
| +3.54% | 3.39B | |
| +15.74% | 3.16B | |
| -4.01% | 2.99B | |
| +15.80% | 2.78B |
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- Financials HF Sinclair Corporation