NRG Energy Inc.

First Quarter 2024 Earnings Presentation

May 7, 2024

Safe Harbor

Forward-Looking Statements

In addition to historical information, the information presented in this presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Exchange Act. These statements involve estimates, expectations, projections, goals, assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can typically be identified by terminology such as "may," "should," "could," "objective," "projection," "forecast," "goal," "guidance," "outlook," "expect," "intend," "seek," "plan," "think," "anticipate," "estimate," "predict," "target," "potential" or "continue" or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company's future revenues, income, indebtedness, capital structure, plans, expectations, objectives, projected financial performance and/or business results and other future events, and views of economic and market conditions.

Although NRG believes that its expectations are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to be correct, and actual results may vary materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated herein include, among others, general economic conditions, hazards customary in the power industry, weather conditions and extreme weather events, competition in wholesale power, gas and smart home markets, the volatility of energy and fuel prices, failure of customers or counterparties to perform under contracts, changes in the wholesale power and gas markets, changes in government or market regulations, the condition of capital markets generally and NRG's ability to access capital markets, NRG's ability to execute its supply strategy, risks related to data privacy, cyberterrorism and inadequate cybersecurity, the loss of data, unanticipated outages at NRG's generation facilities, NRG's ability to achieve its net debt targets, adverse results in current and future litigation, complaints, product liability claims and/or adverse publicity, failure to identify, execute or successfully implement acquisitions or asset sales, risks of the smart home and security industry, including risks of and publicity surrounding the sales, subscriber origination and retention process, the impact of changes in consumer spending patterns, consumer preferences, geopolitical tensions, demographic trends, supply chain disruptions, NRG's ability to implement value enhancing improvements to plant operations and companywide processes, NRG's ability to achieve or maintain investment grade credit metrics, NRG's ability to proceed with projects under development or the inability to complete the construction of such projects on schedule or within budget, the inability to maintain or create successful partnering relationships, NRG's ability to operate its business efficiently, NRG's ability to retain customers, the ability to successfully integrate businesses of acquired companies, including Vivint Smart Home, NRG's ability to realize anticipated benefits of transactions (including expected cost savings and other synergies) or the risk that anticipated benefits may take longer to realize than expected, NRG's ability to execute its capital allocation plan. Achieving investment grade credit metrics is not an indication of or guarantee that the Company will receive investment grade credit ratings. Debt and share repurchases may be made from time to time subject to market conditions and other factors, including as permitted by United States securities laws. Furthermore, any common stock dividend is subject to available capital and market conditions.

NRG undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. The adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow before growth investments guidance are estimates as of May 07, 2024. These estimates are based on assumptions NRG believed to be reasonable as of that date. NRG disclaims any current intention to update such guidance, except as required by law. The foregoing review of factors that could cause NRG's actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation should be considered in connection with information regarding risks and uncertainties that may affect NRG's future results included in NRG's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission at www.sec.gov. For a more detailed discussion of these factors, see the information under the captions "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in NRG's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, and in subsequent SEC filings. NRG's forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this communication or as of the date they are made.

2024 NRG Energy, Inc. All rights reserved.

2 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Agenda

Business Review

Dr. Larry Coben

Chair and Interim President & CEO

Financial Review

Bruce Chung

CFO

Closing Remarks

Dr. Larry Coben

Chair and Interim President & CEO

Q&A

Management

3 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

3 Key Messages

First Quarter Results Exceeded Expectations;

Reaffirming 2024 Financial Guidance

Electrification Trends Increasingly Signal a

Step-Change in Competitive Power Demand Outlook

NRG is Positioned to Capitalize on

Tightening Supply / Demand Across Our Platform

4 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Business Review | Financial Review | Closing Remarks | Appendix

Value Proposition

Leading Competitive Consumer Platform for Homes and Businesses, Serving

  1. ~8 Million Residential Customers and Second Largest Provider for Businesses
    Advanced Core Energy Platform with Diversified Supply, and Leading Brands and
  2. Capabilities
  3. Complementary Smart Home Platform Enhances Consumer Platform with Home and Energy Technology Ecosystem and Diversified Earnings
  4. Uniquely Positioned to Capitalize on Electrification Trends and Convergence of Energy and Smart Technologies
  5. Significant Recurring Excess Cash Flows To Grow Earnings, Return Capital and Maintain Strong Balance Sheet

5 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Business Review | Financial Review | Closing Remarks | Appendix

U.S. Entering Power Demand Super Cycle

Clear Signs of Long-TermStep-Change from Multiple Factors

Onset of Power Demand Growth Following Decade of Efficiency…

U.S. Power DemandCycle Terawatt-hours(TWh)

5

4

Flat Electricity Demand

Energy Efficiency Cycle

3

1989

2007

2022

2033

…While Power Supply Becomes

5

Increasingly Intermittent

U.S. Generation Mix1

Terawatt-hours (TWh)

4

3

2

1

0

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

Dispatchable

Renewables & Storage

Demand Growth is Collective of Macro Trends, More Than Just Generative AI…

88 GW / 500 TWHs

BlendedMcKinsey& GrowthLoadU.S.

35 GW /

307 TWh2

Gen AI

53 GW /

All Other Growth

200 TWh3

EIA

National New Load

2023-2030

…With Texas Expecting Outsized

Growth, Above EIA Forecast

53 GW / 380 TWHs

ERCOT GrowthLoad4

ERCOT Large Load Queue

Gen AI

All Other Growth

5 GW / 44 TWh

7.5 GW / 39 TWh

ERCOT New Load

2023-2028

Rising Power Demand From Base Electrification, Onshoring, CHIPS Act,

Generative AI and Other Factors Requires an 'All of the Above' Supply Approach

1 EIA 2023 Annual Energy Outlook; 2 McKinsey & Co., assumes 100% load factor; 3 EIA 2023 Annual Energy Outlook, assumes ~43% load factor; 4 'ERCOT Large Load Queue' includes all projects with no assumption regarding probability of completion, assumes 85% load factor; 'Gen AI' based on internal estimates, assumes 100% load factor; 'All Other Growth' based on

ERCOT historic growth trend

6 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Business Review | Financial Review | Closing Remarks | Appendix

Competitive Markets Are Uniquely Positioned

Large Loads Likely to Prefer Competitive Markets

Speed, Affordability and Resource Availability are

Key Attributes for Large Loads; including Data Centers

Data Center Company Priorities

Favorable Regulatory Environment (Development, Grid Interconnection)

Competitive

Markets

Texas Stands Out

Business-friendly policies and culture

Ample & Affordable Land

Affordable Power/Energy

Located Near Long-Haul

Fiber Networks

Reliable Power & Sufficient Transmission Infrastructure

Water Supplies

Attractive Tax Policies

Energy & interconnection policies enable

quick interconnection for data centers

and power plant development

Abundance of land close to long-haul

fiber networks and energy infrastructure

>230 data centers currently located in

Texas

Competitive Markets Offer Favorable Conditions for Data Center and

Other Large Load Growth - with Texas and Portions of PJM Best Positioned

7 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Business Review | Financial Review | Closing Remarks | Appendix

NRG Positioned to Benefit from Tightening Supply & Demand Across Platform

Energy & Smart Home

Business

Electricity/Natural Gas

Value Creation Opportunities Across Entire Platform

Home Energy & Smart Home Capabilities - ~8 MM Customers

  • Home Energy coupled with Smart Home capabilities to maximize customer lifetime value through energy management and other services

#2 Business Power (~100 TWh) and Natural Gas (~1.8 Tcf) Provider

  • In discussion with Hyperscalers and other data centers to increase load up to ~3x at existing facilities over next 36 months
  • Mature commercial operations and energy management capabilities to achieve customer sustainability targets and stabilize & optimize energy costs
  • At-scalenatural gas platform to expand margin and increase sales from higher natural gas consumption by power plants and facilitate use of sustainable natural gas solution

Diverse & Balanced Generation Strategy to Capture Margin Expansion

Generation

Site Value

  • Integrated Platform provides unique capabilities to stabilize near-term earnings while capturing medium- to long-term margin expansion opportunities from higher power prices
  • Shovel-readydevelopment of 1.5 GWs natural gas generation in Texas

Significant Real Estate Ownership from Existing and Retired Power Facilities

  • 21 sites / 21k acres for data center, other large load and power supply development
  • In early discussions for both in-front and behind-the-meter opportunities
  • Dedicated team established to capture existing site value

Diverse Opportunities to Create Significant Shareholder Value

8 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Business Review | Financial Review | Closing Remarks | Appendix

Leading Business Sales & Advisory Platform

To Capture Power & Natural Gas Growth

At-Scale Energy Platform1

Business Power Served (TWh)2

#2

97

Constellation NRG Company A Vistra Company B Company C

Business Natural Gas Served (Bcf)3

#1

1,767

Significant Growth Opportunities

Top-Tier & Leading Capabilities

  • Large and trusted provider to Hyperscalers and other large load; notable premium services include:
    • Advisory
    • Demand Response
    • Sustainability Services
  • Leading energy risk management & commercial operations to deliver predictable energy costs and desired energy attributes

Early Indications of Data Center Trends …

  • Hyperscalers providing large data center capacity ramp schedules for upcoming years
  • Example Case: In talks with Hyperscalers and other data center operators to increase load up to ~3x at existing facilities over next 36 months

NRG

Constellation Company A Company B Company C Company D

Trusted and At-Scale Platform Positions NRG to Benefit from

Margin Expansion and Increased Usage

1 Based on publicly available data for the North America region; 2 2023 company filings and DNV; 3 2023 company filings and 2023 ERGC retail market share estimates; NRG and Constellation include wholesale volumes

9 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Business Review | Financial Review | Closing Remarks | Appendix

Generation Fleet Positioned to Capture Value

Generation Profile

  • 13 GW capacity with ~65% in Texas
  • 1.5 GW Texas Brownfield opportunities (gas peaking & CCGT) in development
  • 1.9 GW Renewable PPAs signed, 1.6 GW online

Owned Generation

(Merit Order by Share)

Peaking

10%

13

48% Baseload

Intermediate 42%

GW

Diversified Owned Supply

Texas Generation-Only

Open Gross Margin Sensitivity

Change in:

Gross

Around-the-Clock (ATC)

Margin

Texas Power Prices

Sensitivity

+$5 / MWh

$210 MM

+$10 / MWh

$420 MM

+$20 / MWh

$930 MM

+$30 / MWh

$1,440 MM

+$50 / MWh

$2,610 MM

Base Starting Point Assumptions:

  • Texas ATC Power Price: $45 / MWh (Houston / North Blend)
  • Natural Gas Price: $3.75 / MMBtu
  • Current Fleet: 30 TWh Economic / 35 TWh Uneconomic
  • Weather-Normal,among other simplifying assumptions

Diversified Supply Strategy Provides Near-Term Stability While Positioned to Capture

Medium- to Long-Term Margin Expansion From Higher Power Prices

10 | NRG 1Q24 Earnings

Business Review | Financial Review | Closing Remarks | Appendix

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NRG Energy Inc. published this content on 07 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 07 May 2024 11:50:05 UTC.