Document



UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 6-K

REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER
PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

24 April 2024

Commission File number 001-15246

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP plc

(Translation of registrant's name into English)

25 Gresham Street
London
EC2V 7HN
United Kingdom

(Address of principal executive offices)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F ☒ Form 40-F ☐

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101 (b) (1) ________.

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101 (b) (7) ________.

This report on Form 6-K shall be deemed incorporated by reference into the company's Registration Statement on Form F-3 (File No. 333-265452) and to be a part thereof from the date on which this report is filed, to the extent not superseded by documents or reports subsequently filed or furnished.


FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This document contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, with respect to the business, strategy, plans and/or results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together with its subsidiaries (the Group) and its current goals and expectations. Statements that are not historical or current facts, including statements about the Group's or its directors' and/or management's beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. Words such as, without limitation, 'believes', 'achieves', 'anticipates', 'estimates', 'expects', 'targets', 'should', 'intends', 'aims', 'projects', 'plans', 'potential', 'will', 'would', 'could', 'considered', 'likely', 'may', 'seek', 'estimate', 'probability', 'goal', 'objective', 'deliver', 'endeavour', 'prospects', 'optimistic' and similar expressions or variations on these expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements concern or may affect future matters, including but not limited to: projections or expectations of the Group's future financial position, including profit attributable to shareholders, provisions, economic profit, dividends, capital structure, portfolios, net interest margin, capital ratios, liquidity, risk-weighted assets (RWAs), expenditures or any other financial items or ratios; litigation, regulatory and governmental investigations; the Group's future financial performance; the level and extent of future impairments and write-downs; the Group's ESG targets and/or commitments; statements of plans, objectives or goals of the Group or its management and other statements that are not historical fact and statements of assumptions underlying such statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon circumstances that will or may occur in the future. Factors that could cause actual business, strategy, targets, plans and/or results (including but not limited to the payment of dividends) to differ materially from forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: general economic and business conditions in the UK and internationally; acts of hostility or terrorism and responses to those acts, or other such events; geopolitical unpredictability; the war between Russia and Ukraine; the conflicts in the Middle East; the tensions between China and Taiwan; political instability including as a result of any UK general election; market related risks, trends and developments; changes in client and consumer behaviour and demand; exposure to counterparty risk; the ability to access sufficient sources of capital, liquidity and funding when required; changes to the Group's credit ratings; fluctuations in interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, stock markets and currencies; volatility in credit markets; volatility in the price of the Group's securities; tightening of monetary policy in jurisdictions in which the Group operates; natural pandemic and other disasters; risks concerning borrower and counterparty credit quality; risks affecting insurance business and defined benefit pension schemes; changes in laws, regulations, practices and accounting standards or taxation; changes to regulatory capital or liquidity requirements and similar contingencies; the policies and actions of governmental or regulatory authorities or courts together with any resulting impact on the future structure of the Group; risks associated with the Group's compliance with a wide range of laws and regulations; assessment related to resolution planning requirements; risks related to regulatory actions which may be taken in the event of a bank or Group failure; exposure to legal, regulatory or competition proceedings, investigations or complaints; failure to comply with anti-money laundering, counter terrorist financing, anti-bribery and sanctions regulations; failure to prevent or detect any illegal or improper activities; operational risks including risks as a result of the failure of third party suppliers; conduct risk; technological changes and risks to the security of IT and operational infrastructure, systems, data and information resulting from increased threat of cyber and other attacks; technological failure; inadequate or failed internal or external processes or systems; risks relating to ESG matters, such as climate change (and achieving climate change ambitions) and decarbonisation, including the Group's ability along with the government and other stakeholders to measure, manage and mitigate the impacts of climate change effectively, and human rights issues; the impact of competitive conditions; failure to attract, retain and develop high calibre talent; the ability to achieve strategic objectives; the ability to derive cost savings and other benefits including, but without limitation, as a result of any acquisitions, disposals and other strategic transactions; inability to capture accurately the expected value from acquisitions; assumptions and estimates that form the basis of the Group's financial statements; and potential changes in dividend policy. A number of these influences and factors are beyond the Group's control. Please refer to the latest Annual Report on Form 20-F filed by Lloyds Banking Group plc with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC), which is available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov, for a discussion of certain factors and risks. Lloyds Banking Group plc may also make or disclose written and/or oral forward-looking statements in other written materials and in oral statements made by the directors, officers or employees of Lloyds Banking Group plc to third parties, including financial analysts. Except as required by any applicable law or regulation, the forward-looking statements contained in this document are made as of today's date, and the Group expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained in this document whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The information, statements and opinions contained in this document do not constitute a public offer under any applicable law or an offer to sell any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or financial instruments.
EXPLANATORY NOTE
This report on Form 6-K contains the interim report of Lloyds Banking Group plc, which includes the unaudited consolidated interim results for the three months ended 31 March 2024 and is being incorporated by reference into the Registration Statement with File No. 333-265452.
Page 1 of 10

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Income statement
The Group's statutory profit before tax for the first three months of 2024 was £1,628 million, 28per cent lower than the same period in 2023. This was due to lower net interest income and higher operating expenses, partly offset by a lower impairment charge. Profit for the period was £1,215 million and earnings per share was 1.7 pence (three months ended 31 March 2023: £1,641 million and 2.3 pence respectively).
Total income, after net finance expense in respect of insurance and investment contracts for the first three months, was £4,387 million, a decrease of 9 per cent on 2023, primarily reflecting lower net interest income in the quarter.
Net interest income of £3,045 million was down 11 per cent from the same period in 2023, primarily driven by a lower net interest income margin. The lower margin reflects expected headwinds due to deposit churn and asset margin compression, particularly in the mortgage book as it refinances in a lower margin environment. These factors were partially offset by benefits from higher structural hedge earnings in the higher rate environment. Average interest-earning banking assets were lower compared to the first three months of 2023, significantly due to a modest reduction in the mortgage book and continued repayments of government-backed lending in the Small and Medium Businesses portfolio.
Other income amounted to £8,272 million in the three months ended 31 March 2024, compared to £5,875 million in the same period in 2023. Within other income, net trading income from the Group's insurance activities was £6,847 million in the quarter compared to £4,505 million in three months ended 31 March 2023, an increase of £2,342 million reflecting stronger equity and debt market performance. Outside of the insurance business, there was improved UK Motor Finance performance including growth from the acquisition of Tusker, and Commercial Banking growth from strong capital markets performance. The movement in other income was broadly offset by the £2,429 million increase in net finance expense in respect of insurance and investment contracts.
Total operating expenses of £2,703 million were 17 per cent higher than the same period in 2023. This includes expected elevated severance charges taken early in the year (£0.1 billion higher than the same period in 2023) and a new sector-wide Bank of England levy, replacing the former charging structure. This annual levy of c.£0.1 billion was charged through operating expenses in the first quarter and will have a broadly neutral impact on profit in 2024, with an offsetting benefit recognised in net interest income over the course of the year. The Group continues to maintain cost discipline and delivery of cost efficiencies, in the context of inflationary pressures and ongoing strategic investment. Operating lease depreciation of £290 million increased compared to the prior year (three months to 31 March 2023: £140 million). This reflects a full quarter of depreciation from Tusker, alongside growth in the fleet size and declines in used car prices.
The Group recognised remediation costs of £25 million in the first three months (three months ended 31 March 2023: £19 million), in relation to pre-existing programmes. There have been no further charges relating to the potential impact of the FCA review into historical motor finance commission arrangements, with the FCA having indicated it will update in September.
Impairment was a charge of £56 million (three months ended 31 March 2023: £242 million). This reflects a larger credit from improvements to the Group's economic outlook in the first quarter compared to the prior year. The decrease also includes a release in Commercial Banking from loss rates used in the model, while observing a low charge on new and existing Stage 3 clients. Asset quality remains strong with credit performance across portfolios stable in the quarter and remaining broadly at, or favourable to pre-pandemic experience.
The Group recognised a tax expense of £413 million in the period compared to £619 million in the first three months of 2023 driven by lower profit in the period.
Page 2 of 10

FINANCIAL REVIEW (continued)
Balance sheet
Total assets were £8,180 million, or 1 per cent, higher at £889,633 million at 31 March 2024 compared to £881,453 million at 31 December 2023. Cash and balances at central banks reduced by £7,120 million to £70,990 million reflecting a change in the mix of liquidity holdings. Financial assets at amortised cost were £5,418 million higher at £520,053 million compared to £514,635 million at 31 December 2023 with reverse repurchase agreements £7,373 million higher, offset by a reduction in loans and advances to customers of £1,247 million to £448,498 million. The decrease in loans and advances to customers represented a £1.6 billion reduction in the UK mortgages portfolio following the expected refinancing of the higher maturities in the fourth quarter of 2023, as well as a £0.8 billion reduction in Small and Medium Business lending, including repayments of government-backed lending. This was partly offset by growth in UK Retail unsecured loans of £0.7 billion, due to organic balance growth and lower repayments following a securitisation in the fourth quarter of 2023, alongside growth in UK Motor Finance and credit cards. Financial assets held at fair value through profit or loss increased by £9,117 million overall, with holdings within the insurance business higher by £6,019 million as a result of market gains on equity investments whilst holdings in the banking business were £3,098 million higher. Derivative financial instruments were £3,536 million lower at £18,820 million compared to £22,356 million at 31 December 2023, driven by reduced volumes and movements in the yield curve on interest rate swaps and currency movements. Other assets increased £4,687 million, reflecting significantly higher settlement balances.
Total liabilities were £7,754 million higher at £841,842 million compared to £834,088 million at 31 December 2023. Customer deposits stood at £469,150 million at the end of the first quarter, a decrease of £2,246 million. Retail deposits were up £1.3 billion in the quarter with a combined increase of £0.9 billion across Retail savings and Wealth, driven by inflows to limited withdrawal and fixed products and a £0.4 billion increase in current account balances, benefiting from seasonally lower spend and bank holiday timing impacts (with the latter expected to reverse in the second quarter). This was partly offset by seasonal tax payments and outflows to savings products, including the Group's own savings offers. Growth in Retail was more than offset by a reduction in Commercial Banking deposits of £3.5 billion, largely due to Small and Medium Businesses balance reductions. Derivative liabilities decreased £3,422 million, consistent with the decrease in derivative assets. Liabilities arising from insurance and investment contracts increased by £6,333 million, matching the increase in policyholder investments as a result of gains in equity markets. Debt securities in issue at amortised cost increased by £977 million and subordinated liabilities by £324 million following issuances during the quarter. Other liabilities were £5,155 million higher, also reflecting higher settlement balances.
Total equity increased from £47,365 million at 31 December 2023 to £47,791 million at 31 March 2024, as a result of profit and share issuances during the period partly offset by increased longer-term rates impacting the cash flow hedging reserve and pension surplus, along with the share buyback programme that was announced in February 2024, with 495 million shares repurchased as at 31 March 2024.
Capital
The Group's common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio has reduced to 13.9 per cent at 31 March 2024 (31 December 2023: 14.6 per cent). Banking business profits for the first three months of the year and the dividend received from the Group's Insurance business were more than offset by the recognition of the full impact of the announced ordinary share buyback programme, the accrual for foreseeable ordinary dividends and an increase in risk-weighted assets.
The Group's total capital ratio reduced to 19.0 per cent at 31 March 2024 (31 December 2023: 19.8 per cent) predominantly reflecting the reduction in CET1 capital and the increase in risk-weighted assets. The minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) increased to 32.0 per cent at 31 March 2024 (31 December 2023: 31.9 per cent) primarily reflecting the issuance of new senior unsecured debt instruments. This was largely offset by the reduction in total capital resources, the derecognition of instruments with less than one year to maturity and the increase in risk-weighted assets.
Risk-weighted assets increased by £3.7 billion to £222.8 billion at 31 March 2024 (31 December 2023: £219.1 billion). This largely reflected the impact of Retail lending and a temporary increase of circa £1.5 billion. The impact from credit and model calibrations was minimal.
The Group's UK leverage ratio reduced to 5.6 per cent at 31 March 2024 (31 December 2023: 5.8 per cent) reflecting both the reduction in total tier 1 capital and an increase in the leverage exposure measure principally related to increases in securities financing transactions and off-balance sheet items.
Page 3 of 10

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT (UNAUDITED)
Three months ended
31 Mar
2024
£m
Three months ended
31 Mar
2023
£m
Net interest income 3,045 3,434
Other income 8,272 5,875
Total income 11,317 9,309
Net finance expense in respect of insurance and investment contracts (6,930) (4,501)
Total income, after net finance expense in respect of insurance and investment contracts 4,387 4,808
Operating expenses (2,703) (2,306)
Impairment (56) (242)
Profit before tax 1,628 2,260
Tax expense (413) (619)
Profit for the period 1,215 1,641
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders 1,069 1,510
Profit attributable to other equity holders 135 115
Profit attributable to equity holders 1,204 1,625
Profit attributable to non-controlling interests 11 16
Profit for the period 1,215 1,641
Basic earnings per share 1.7p 2.3p
Diluted earnings per share 1.7p 2.2p
Page 4 of 10

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET (UNAUDITED)
At 31 Mar 2024
£m
At 31 Dec 2023
£m
Assets
Cash and balances at central banks 70,990 78,110
Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss 212,435 203,318
Derivative financial instruments 18,820 22,356
Loans and advances to banks 9,773 10,764
Loans and advances to customers 448,498 449,745
Reverse repurchase agreements 46,144 38,771
Debt securities 15,638 15,355
Financial assets at amortised cost 520,053 514,635
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income 27,206 27,592
Other assets 40,129 35,442
Total assets 889,633 881,453
Liabilities
Deposits from banks 6,105 6,153
Customer deposits 469,150 471,396
Repurchase agreements at amortised cost 37,461 37,703
Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss 25,837 24,914
Derivative financial instruments 16,727 20,149
Debt securities in issue at amortised cost 76,569 75,592
Liabilities arising from insurance and investment contracts 171,434 165,101
Other liabilities 27,982 22,827
Subordinated liabilities 10,577 10,253
Total liabilities 841,842 834,088
Equity
Share capital 6,373 6,358
Share premium account 18,661 18,568
Other reserves 8,360 8,508
Retained profits 7,247 6,790
Ordinary shareholders' equity 40,641 40,224
Other equity instruments 6,940 6,940
Non-controlling interests 210 201
Total equity 47,791 47,365
Total equity and liabilities 889,633 881,453
Page 5 of 10

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION
1. Basis of presentation
This release covers the results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together with its subsidiaries (the Group) for the three months ended 31 March 2024.
Accounting policies
The accounting policies are consistent with those applied by the Group in its 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F.
2. Loans and advances to customers and expected credit loss allowance
At 31 March 2024
Stage 1
£m
Stage 2
£m
Stage 3
£m
POCI
£m
Total
£m
Stage 2
as % of
total
Stage 3
as % of
total
Loans and advances to customers
UK mortgages 260,134 33,301 4,581 7,659 305,675 10.9 1.5
Credit cards 12,729 2,883 308 - 15,920 18.1 1.9
UK unsecured loans and overdrafts 7,667 1,210 195 - 9,072 13.3 2.1
UK Motor Finance 13,897 2,140 118 - 16,155 13.2 0.7
Other 16,178 507 149 - 16,834 3.0 0.9
Retail 310,605 40,041 5,351 7,659 363,656 11.0 1.5
Small and Medium Businesses 27,115 4,087 1,465 - 32,667 12.5 4.5
Corporate and Institutional Banking 52,382 2,875 777 - 56,034 5.1 1.4
Commercial Banking 79,497 6,962 2,242 - 88,701 7.8 2.5
Other1
(323) - 6 - (317)
Total gross lending 389,779 47,003 7,599 7,659 452,040 10.4 1.7
ECL allowance on drawn balances (865) (1,319) (1,142) (216) (3,542)
Net balance sheet carrying value 388,914 45,684 6,457 7,443 448,498
Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)
UK mortgages 135 351 353 216 1,055
Credit cards 231 405 144 - 780
UK unsecured loans and overdrafts 161 233 118 - 512
UK Motor Finance2
187 95 67 - 349
Other 19 21 46 - 86
Retail 733 1,105 728 216 2,782
Small and Medium Businesses 141 222 170 - 533
Corporate and Institutional Banking 155 138 242 - 535
Commercial Banking 296 360 412 - 1,068
Other - - 4 - 4
Total 1,029 1,465 1,144 216 3,854
Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn) as a percentage of loans and advances to customers3
UK mortgages 0.1 1.1 7.7 2.8 0.3
Credit cards 1.8 14.0 46.8 - 4.9
UK unsecured loans and overdrafts 2.1 19.3 60.5 - 5.6
UK Motor Finance 1.3 4.4 56.8 - 2.2
Other 0.1 4.1 30.9 - 0.5
Retail 0.2 2.8 13.6 2.8 0.8
Small and Medium Businesses 0.5 5.4 11.6 - 1.6
Corporate and Institutional Banking 0.3 4.8 31.1 - 1.0
Commercial Banking 0.4 5.2 18.4 - 1.2
Other - 66.7 -
Total 0.3 3.1 15.1 2.8 0.9
1 Contains centralised fair value hedge accounting adjustments.
2 UK Motor Finance for Stages 1 and 2 include £188 million relating to provisions against residual values of vehicles subject to finance leasing agreements for Black Horse. These provisions are included within the calculation of coverage ratios.
3 Allowance for expected credit losses on loans and advances to customers as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including loans in recoveries.
Page 6 of 10

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)
2. Loans and advances to customers and expected credit loss allowance (continued)
At 31 December 2023
Stage 1
£m
Stage 2
£m
Stage 3
£m
POCI
£m
Total
£m
Stage 2
as % of
total
Stage 3
as % of
total
Loans and advances to customers
UK mortgages 256,596 38,533 4,337 7,854 307,320 12.5 1.4
Credit cards 12,625 2,908 284 - 15,817 18.4 1.8
UK unsecured loans and overdrafts 7,103 1,187 196 - 8,486 14.0 2.3
UK Motor Finance 13,541 2,027 112 - 15,680 12.9 0.7
Other 15,898 525 144 - 16,567 3.2 0.9
Retail 305,763 45,180 5,073 7,854 363,870 12.4 1.4
Small and Medium Businesses 27,525 4,458 1,530 - 33,513 13.3 4.6
Corporate and Institutional Banking 52,049 3,529 538 - 56,116 6.3 1.0
Commercial Banking 79,574 7,987 2,068 - 89,629 8.9 2.3
Other1
(43) - 6 - (37)
Total gross lending 385,294 53,167 7,147 7,854 453,462 11.7 1.6
ECL allowance on drawn balances (900) (1,467) (1,137) (213) (3,717)
Net balance sheet carrying value 384,394 51,700 6,010 7,641 449,745
Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)
UK mortgages 169 376 357 213 1,115
Credit cards 234 446 130 - 810
UK unsecured loans and overdrafts 153 244 118 - 515
UK Motor Finance2
188 91 63 - 342
Other 20 21 47 - 88
Retail 764 1,178 715 213 2,870
Small and Medium Businesses 140 231 167 - 538
Corporate and Institutional Banking 156 218 253 - 627
Commercial Banking 296 449 420 - 1,165
Other - - 4 - 4
Total 1,060 1,627 1,139 213 4,039
Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn) as a percentage of loans and advances to customers3
UK mortgages 0.1 1.0 8.2 2.7 0.4
Credit cards 1.9 15.3 45.8 - 5.1
UK unsecured loans and overdrafts 2.2 20.6 60.2 - 6.1
UK Motor Finance 1.4 4.5 56.3 - 2.2
Other 0.1 4.0 32.6 - 0.5
Retail 0.2 2.6 14.1 2.7 0.8
Small and Medium Businesses 0.5 5.2 10.9 - 1.6
Corporate and Institutional Banking 0.3 6.2 47.0 - 1.1
Commercial Banking 0.4 5.6 20.3 - 1.3
Other - 66.7 -
Total 0.3 3.1 15.9 2.7 0.9
1 Contains centralised fair value hedge accounting adjustments.
2 UK Motor Finance for Stages 1 and 2 include £187 million relating to provisions against residual values of vehicles subject to finance leasing agreements for Black Horse. These provisions are included within the calculation of coverage ratios.
3 Allowance for expected credit losses on loans and advances to customers as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including loans in recoveries.
Page 7 of 10

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)
3. Total ECL allowance by scenario
The table below shows the Group's ECL for the probability-weighted, upside, base case, downside and severe downside scenarios, the severe downside scenario incorporating adjustments made to Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation and UK Bank Rate paths.

Probability-
weighted
£m
Upside
£m
Base case
£m
Downside
£m
Severe
downside
£m
At 31 March 2024
3,889 2,615 3,277 4,259 8,438
At 31 December 2023
4,084 2,670 3,406 4,469 9,202
4. UK economic assumptions
Base case and MES economic assumptions
The Group's base case scenario is for a slow expansion in GDP and a rise in the unemployment rate alongside modest changes in residential and commercial property prices. Following a reduction in inflationary pressures, UK Bank Rate is expected to be lowered during 2024. Risks around this base case economic view lie in both directions and are largely captured by the generation of alternative economic scenarios.
The Group has taken into account the latest available information at the reporting date in defining its base case scenario and generating alternative economic scenarios. The scenarios include forecasts for key variables as of the first quarter of 2024. Actuals for this period, or restatements of past data, may have since emerged prior to publication. The Group's approach to generating alternative economic scenarios is set out in detail in note 24 in the Group's 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F.
Base case scenario by quarter
Key quarterly assumptions made by the Group in the base case scenario are shown below. Gross domestic product is presented quarter-on-quarter. House price growth, commercial real estate price growth and CPI inflation are presented year-on-year, i.e. from the equivalent quarter in the previous year. Unemployment rate and UK Bank Rate are presented as at the end of each quarter.
At 31 March 2024
First
quarter
2024
%
Second
quarter
2024
%
Third
quarter
2024
%
Fourth
quarter
2024
%
First
quarter
2025
%
Second
quarter
2025
%
Third
quarter
2025
%
Fourth
quarter
2025
%
Gross domestic product 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Unemployment rate 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8
House price growth 1.5 2.1 4.6 1.5 (0.1) 0.1 0.4 0.8
Commercial real estate price growth (5.4) (5.3) (3.3) (0.5) 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.7
UK Bank Rate 5.25 5.00 4.75 4.50 4.25 4.00 4.00 3.75
CPI inflation 3.3 2.1 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.0
Page 8 of 10

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)
4. UK economic assumptions (continued)
Scenarios by year
Key annual assumptions made by the Group are shown below. Gross domestic product and CPI inflation are presented as an annual change, house price growth and commercial real estate price growth are presented as the growth in the respective indices within the period. Unemployment rate and UK Bank Rate are averages for the period.
At 31 March 2024
2024
%
2025
%
2026
%
2027
%
2028
%
2024-2028
average
%
Upside
Gross domestic product 1.1 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6
Unemployment rate 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0
House price growth 3.7 6.7 6.5 5.3 4.9 5.4
Commercial real estate price growth 6.5 4.8 1.4 2.0 2.2 3.4
UK Bank Rate 5.40 5.44 5.25 5.00 5.07 5.23
CPI inflation 2.3 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.8
Base case
Gross domestic product 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.3
Unemployment rate 4.3 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.6
House price growth 1.5 0.8 0.9 1.6 2.8 1.5
Commercial real estate price growth (0.5) 0.7 (0.1) 1.6 2.1 0.7
UK Bank Rate 4.88 4.00 3.50 3.06 3.00 3.69
CPI inflation 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.4
Downside
Gross domestic product (0.8) (0.4) 1.2 1.7 1.7 0.7
Unemployment rate 5.5 7.4 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.1
House price growth 0.0 (5.2) (7.0) (4.8) (1.5) (3.7)
Commercial real estate price growth (8.1) (5.2) (2.9) (1.0) (0.2) (3.5)
UK Bank Rate 4.29 2.00 1.03 0.48 0.29 1.62
CPI inflation 2.4 2.7 1.8 1.0 1.0 1.8
Severe downside
Gross domestic product (1.8) (1.1) 1.1 1.4 1.5 0.2
Unemployment rate 7.2 10.1 10.3 9.9 9.7 9.4
House price growth (2.2) (12.3) (14.3) (10.9) (6.0) (9.2)
Commercial real estate price growth (18.0) (11.7) (8.5) (5.0) (2.4) (9.3)
UK Bank Rate - modelled 3.46 0.51 0.11 0.02 0.01 0.82
UK Bank Rate - adjusted1
6.19 4.56 3.63 3.13 3.00 4.10
CPI inflation - modelled 2.4 2.4 1.0 0.0 (0.1) 1.1
CPI inflation - adjusted1
7.5 3.5 1.3 1.0 1.8 3.0
Probability-weighted
Gross domestic product 0.0 0.7 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.1
Unemployment rate 4.6 5.6 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.3
House price growth 1.3 (0.6) (1.3) (0.5) 1.2 0.0
Commercial real estate price growth (2.4) (1.1) (1.3) 0.3 1.0 (0.7)
UK Bank Rate - modelled 4.71 3.48 2.94 2.56 2.51 3.24
UK Bank Rate - adjusted1
4.99 3.89 3.30 2.88 2.81 3.57
CPI inflation - modelled 2.4 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.9 2.2
CPI inflation - adjusted1
2.9 2.9 2.3 1.9 2.1 2.4
1 The adjustment to UK Bank Rate and CPI inflation in the severe downside is considered to better reflect the risks around the Group's base case view in an economic environment where supply shocks are the principal concern.
Page 9 of 10

SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorised.
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP plc
By: /s/ William Chalmers
Name: William Chalmers
Title: Chief Financial Officer
Dated:
24 April 2024
Page 10 of 10

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Lloyds Banking Group plc published this content on 24 April 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 April 2024 12:13:08 UTC.