Earnings presentation 1Q20
May 4th 2020
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2
1Q 2020 - Highlights
Strong core business
Recurrent NII | Fee Income | |
+8%+10%
YoYYoY
Conservative loan book
Underlying CoR (2)Total CoR (2)23 bps | 49 bps | |
1Q20 | 1Q20 | |
- 23m of Covid19 provisions:
- 16m Loans + € 7m REOs
Rigorous cost policy
OPEX | Efficiency (1) | |
64% 58%
1Q19 1Q20
Resilient Capital
CET1 FL | CET1 FL | MDA buffer | ||
buffer | ||||
13.0% | €791m | 275 bps | ||
Caser(3)
+17 bps (CET1) & 37bps (Total)
3
- Like for Like comparison. Removing SRF contribution from 1Q19 and non-recurrent NII from 1Q20
(2) LLP over average loans (3) Impacts will take place once Caser transaction is approved by the regulator.
1Q 2020 - Highlights
Commercial activity
- Steady growth in volumes with limited effects from Covid-19 in the quarter.
- Total performing book increased +6.8% YoY and +0.7% QoQ driven by mortgages (+1.2% QoQ) while corporates fell 1.9% QoQ due to the amortization of some large tickets.
- Customer funds increased +3.3% YoY and +0.3% QoQ.
- On balance sheet increased +1.4% QoQ.
- Mutual funds fell 4.6% outperforming the sector by c.6 percentage points. Net inflows in the quarter are €126m, (+56% vs 1Q19).
- Strengthening remote and digital capabilities. High convenience offered to clients with total availability of services.
Profitability
- Recurrent NII increased +8% YoY and +2% QoQ supported by lower funding cost and lending growth that more than offset the 1Q seasonality and lower contribution from the fixed income portfolio.
- Recurrent fees increased +10% YoY and +1% QoQ supported by off balance sheet products and increased banking activity.
- Opex down 4.5% YoY while reinforcing digital channels.
- Underlying cost of risk is 23bp (49bp incl. Covid) in the quarter.
- The bank booked generic provisions of € 23m (€16m loans and €7m REOs) as precautionary measures.
4
1Q 2020 - Highlights
Asset Quality
- NPA ratio drops from 8.6% to 8.2% QoQ. Texas ratio drops to 52%.
- NPL ratio falls from 3.3% to 3.2% in the quarter.
- Gross real estate asset outflows of € 100m, of which 61% is land.
Solvency & Liquidity
- CET1 ratio fully-loaded(1) stands at 13.0%, +52bp YoY and flat QoQ, as market impact and lending growth are offset by organic generation, NPAs reduction and 2019 dividend added back to capital.
- Caser transaction is not included in the capital ratios reported. Positive impact of +17bps and +37bps in CET1 and total capital fully loaded respectively. Additionally, Liberbank will receive a € 43m cash payment maintaining the current commissions scheme for distribution (2).
- TBVps increased by € 0.06 to € 0.99, +7% YoY (incl. share buy back programme).
- Strong liquidity position. LCR ratio stands at 248%, NSFR at 112% and LtD at 99%.
(1) | CET1 FL incorporates the full impact of IFRS-9 (28pb) and the full net profit 2019 and 1Q20. It deducts the approved and executed but not cancelled share buy back programme as | 5 |
well as 71 bps of software intangible deductions. | ||
(2) | Subject to certain suspensive conditions as competition authority approvals that are expected to be met in the coming months. |
1. Covid-19 response
Agenda 2. Commercial Activity
- Results analysis
- Asset Quality
- Solvency
- Liquidity and Fixed Income portfolio
- Appendix
6
COVID-19 Liberbank's reponse (I/II)
Employees | Clients | Business |
Remote work for 90% of HQ | Branch attention under | Robust technology allows |
and c.50% branch network. | appointment. | the bank to serve our |
customers remotely. | ||
Liberbank's employees are | Pension payments | |
contributing to the pandemic | advancements. | Strengthened IT security. |
through different personal | ||
initiatives. | Actively contacted business | 100% of branch ATMs |
clients to understand their | available. | |
needs and facilitate specific | ||
products like the ICO Lines. | Contactless ATM withdrawal | |
enabled. |
Branch Management | Contact center. Avg weekly queries | |
20%
March -April27,500
RetailBusiness
20%60%
100% | 2x |
Pre-Covid15,000
Open Partially open Closed
7
COVID-19 Liberbank's reponse (II/II)
Credit lines
57% | 62% | |||||||||
51% | 60% | |||||||||
1,264 | 1,261 | 1,219 | 50% | Very low use | ||||||
481 | 40% | rate increase | ||||||||
540 | 594 | by our clients | ||||||||
30% | ||||||||||
20% | at quarter | |||||||||
724 | 780 | 625 | 10% | end. | ||||||
0% | ||||||||||
31 Dec 19 | 31 Mar 20 | 28 Apr 20 | ||||||||
Drawn (€m) | Undrawn (€m) | Usage (%) | ||||||||
State guaranteed lines - ICO (1)
- Two tranches approved so far, worth €40 bn.
- Take up for Liberbank is €719m, 1.7% mkt share.
- It could add up to c. €958m of total lending, 17% of corporates loan book.
1st tranche use - 100%
2nd tranche use - 68%
Activity (1) | ||
€ 114 m | April | |
Residential | origination | |
mortgage |
€ 14 m | +3% AuMs | |
April net | vs end - March 2020 | |
Mutual funds | ||
Inflows | ||
Moratorium (1)
Liberbank offers relief measures to support households via "public moratorium" and "private moratorium".
Residential | €290m requested c.2% of the book |
mortgage |
Consumer €6m requested < 1% of the book
loans
(1) Data as of April 30th. | 8 |
1. Covid-19 response
Agenda 2. Commercial Activity
- Results analysis
- Asset Quality
- Solvency
- Liquidity and Fixed Income portfolio
- Appendix
9
Customer funds
Total Customer Funds breakdown. € m
Customer Funds € bn | |||||||||||||||||||||
€ m | 1Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | QoQ | YoY | ||||||||||||||||
Customer Funds | 29,988 | 30,900 | 30,990 | 0.3% | 3.3% | (exc. Public Institutions). | +2.9% | ||||||||||||||
YoY | |||||||||||||||||||||
Customer Funds on Balance Sheet | 24,313 | 24,675 | 25,018 | 1.4% | 2.9% | ||||||||||||||||
Public Institutions | 1,904 | 1,826 | 2,096 | 14.8% | 10.1% | ||||||||||||||||
29.1 | 28.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Retail Customer | 22,409 | 22,849 | 22,923 | 0.3% | 2.3% | 28.1 | |||||||||||||||
Demand deposits | 16,629 | 18,066 | 18,559 | 2.7% | 11.6% | 6.2 | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||
5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Term deposits | 5,778 | 4,783 | 4,363 | -8.8% | -24.5% | ||||||||||||||||
Other | 1 | 0 | 0 | na | na | 5.8 | 4.8 | 4.4 | |||||||||||||
Off-balance sheet | 5,675 | 6,225 | 5,972 | -4.1% | 5.2% | ||||||||||||||||
18.1 | 18.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mutual funds | 3,239 | 3,772 | 3,597 | -4.6% | 11.0% | 16.6 | |||||||||||||||
Pension Plans | 1,460 | 1,481 | 1,420 | -4.1% | -2.7% | ||||||||||||||||
Insurance Funds | 976 | 972 | 955 | -1.7% | -2.1% | ||||||||||||||||
Mar 19 | Dec 19 | Mar 20 | |||||||||||||||||||
Number of branches | 644 | 582 | 579 | -0.5% | -10.1% | ||||||||||||||||
Demand deposits | Term deposits | Off-balance sheet | |||||||||||||||||||
Customer funds per branch (€ m)(1) | 43 | 49 | 49 | 0.8% | 14.1% | ||||||||||||||||
- Customer funds on balance sheet remain strong with customer deposits paying almost zero across the client base.
- Mutual funds' assets under management outperformed the sector by c.6 percentage points in the quarter.
Note: customer funds do not include repos
(1) Adjusted by agencies funds. | 10 |
Off balance sheet products
Mutual funds AuMs. € bn.
3.6 | ||||||||||||||||
3.0 | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||
2.4 | ||||||||||||||||
1Q17 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | |||||||||||||
Mutual funds fee income | ||||||||||||||||
18% | ||||||||||||||||
16% | 20% | |||||||||||||||
14% | 18% | |||||||||||||||
16% | ||||||||||||||||
11% | 14% | |||||||||||||||
12% | ||||||||||||||||
9 | 10% | |||||||||||||||
8% | ||||||||||||||||
6 | 7 | 6% | ||||||||||||||
5 | ||||||||||||||||
4% | ||||||||||||||||
2% | ||||||||||||||||
0% | ||||||||||||||||
1Q17 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
Mutual Funds fees (€m) (%) over recurrent fees
Insurance premiums. € m.
58 | 60 | |||||
52 | ||||||
11 | 12 | |||||
10 | ||||||
17 | 15 | |||||
16 | ||||||
26 | 30 | 33 | ||||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | ||||
Life | Other | Home | ||||
Recurrent insurance income (1) (€ m)
13 | 14 | |
12 | ||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
- Mutual funds fees represent 18% of total recurrent fees in the 1st quarter, up 7 pp since 2017.
- Net inflows in the quarter are €126m, up 56% versus same quarter last year.
- Insurance premiums are up 5% YoY, lead by strong performance in life and home insurance which are up 12% and 3% respectively.
(1) Excludes dividend received in 1Q19 | 11 |
Lending
Performing loan book breakdown. Gross € m | Performing loan book growth. YoY | |
€ m | 1Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | QoQ | YoY | ||||||||
6.6% | |||||||||||||
Public sector | 2,280 | 3,174 | 3,307 | 4.2% | 45% | ||||||||
Loans to businesses | 5,745 | 5,690 | 5,581 | -1.9% | -2.9% | 4.5% | |||||||
Real Estate Developers | 321 | 300 | 341 | 13.8% | 6.3% | ||||||||
Other Corporates | -2.8% | -3.4% | 2.6% | ||||||||||
5,424 | 5,390 | 5,240 | |||||||||||
Loan to individuals | 14,462 | 14,972 | 15,130 | 1.1% | 4.6% | ||||||||
Residential mortgages | 13,640 | 14,091 | 14,254 | 1.2% | 4.5% | ||||||||
Consumer and others | 822 | 881 | 876 | -0.6% | 6.6% | ||||||||
Other loans | 325 | 351 | 346 | -1.6% | 6.3% | ||||||||
-2.9% | |||||||||||||
Total performing book | 22,812 | 24,186 | 24,364 | 0.7% | 6.8% | ||||||||
Total performing book (exc | Total (exc | Corporates | Consumer & | Residential | |||||||||
20,532 | 21,013 | 21,056 | 0.2% | 2.6% | Public sector) | others | mortgages | ||||||
Public sector) | |||||||||||||
- Good commercial momentum leads to +6.8% YoY growth (+2.6% excl. public institutions).
- Mortgage book maintains the good pace with +4.5% YoY growth while "consumer and others" grows at +6.6% YoY.
- Corporate book falls in the quarter due to the amortization of some large tickets.
12
Lending: new production
Total lending (excl. public sector). € m
Residential mortgage. € m
1,015
+3%
YoY
1,1531,187
+13% | ||
YoY | ||
511 | ||
158 | ||
March | ||
203 | ||
394 | 451 | Feb. |
114 | ||
150 | ||
Jan. |
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
Consumer lending. € m
-8% | |||||
YoY | |||||
76 | |||||
25 | |||||
March | |||||
73 | 83 | 25 | |||
Feb. | |||||
25 | 9 | ||||
Jan. | |||||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | April 20 | ||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | April 20 | |||||
Corporates. € m | ||||||||
-3% | 750 | |||||||
YoY | ||||||||
599 | ||||||||
268 | ||||||||
March | ||||||||
185 | ||||||||
618 | Feb. | |||||||
546 | ||||||||
146 | ||||||||
Jan. | ||||||||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | April 20 |
- Total new origination excluding public sector is +3% YoY, with no ICO lines signed in the quarter.
- Activity continues in April, corporates origination boosted by ICO credit lines.
13
Mortgage portfolio
Total book. Key metrics
- 15% of the book comes from public employees.
- 27% affordability* ratio in the portfolio.
- 93% is first home and 95% are domestic customers.
- 4% of the book has LTV > 80% versus 15% in the sector.
- Average LTV in the book is 51%.
Mortgage NPL Ratio
Geographic breakdown
13% 12%
6%
0%
26%
4% | |||
3.5% | 8% | 20% | |
2.4% | |||
4% | |||
Lbk | Sector |
2018 - 2020 new origination.
- At least one of the borrowers has a permanent job in 99% of the contracts.
- 69% of mortgage contracts have two or more borrowers.
- All risk assessment and management processes are performed by bank staff independently of the origination channel.
Metrics at origination
69%26%62%
Loan to value Affordability* | Fixed rate |
(*) Affordability ratio: Mortgage payment over total monthly income. | 14 |
Note: 2018-20 origination LTV and affordability are calculated at origination. |
Performing loan book
Performing book breakdown
Business | Public | Residential mortgage | Consumer Other |
sector | |||
bn | ||
24.3€ | 23% | 14% |
Low risk business portfolio is well diversified:
Sector | Weight (%) |
Industry & manufacturing | 3.2% |
Wholesalers & retail | 3.0% |
Food industry | 2.8% |
Services & education | 2.2% |
Utilities | 1.8% |
Real Estate | 1.6% |
Logistics | 1.5% |
Financial activities | 1.4% |
Tourism, hotels & restaurants | 1.4% |
Healthcare | 0.9% |
Other | 3.1% |
- Negligible exposure to Oil & Gas and airlines industries, €6 m total.
- Hotels, restaurants and tourism account for 1.4% of the
loan book.
59% | 3% | ||
2% | |||
Liberbank has a very conservative consumer loan book:
- Pure consumer loans amount to € 620m, 2.5% of the book.
- 1.15% market share, well bellow natural market share.
- No open market agreements for direct lending.
- Negligible revolving credit, € 23m.
- Average yield of 6.5%, portfolio is composed of mostly pre approved loans to existing clients.
(*) Other included: Auto industry, telecommunications, asset management, among others.
15
Business portfolio
Geographic breakdown | Business book breakdown (1) | |||
10% | 8% | |||
4% | 7% 6% | Large corporates (> €150m) | ||
1% | 28% |
32%
9%17%
2%
3%
Corporates (€7m - €150m) | |
22% | SMEs (< €7m) |
Self employed | |
37% | Real Estate |
Businesses age distribution
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
0-1 Years 1-5 Years 5-10 years 10-15 | 15-25 | 25-50 > 50 Years |
Years | Years | Years |
- 76% of the book comes from home regions and Madrid.
-
Low volume of restructured loans
(€ 381m), 1.5% of the loan book, out of which 65% are NPLs.
(1) Breakdown by turnover volume.
16
Digital transformation
Consumer | ||
loans | Mortgage | Stocks |
Digital | 1Q20 | 20% | 7% | 56% | Notable growth | |||
Sales/total | 1Q19 | 14% | 2% | 46% | wary CAPEX | |||
Active | New digital | Wallet / | ||||||
Digital | clients | Bizum | ||||||
1Q20 | 43% | c. 10,000 | >50,000 | Multichannel | ||||
Clients | ||||||||
38% | in 1q20 | clients | client acquisition | |||||
1Q19 | ||||||||
Payments | ||||||||
Wires | Queries | (transactions) | ||||||
Activity | 1Q20 | 78% | 85% | 1 Million | Increased efficiency | |||
1Q19 | 73% | 82% | & service | |||||
Remote managers
- Capabilities to sell all retail products remotely.
- Increased efficiency both in terms of sales and costs.
- Improved NPS and customer support of the service.
Online sales capabilities
- Well advanced remote mortgage origination platform. Launch expected in Q3.
- Consumer loan, credit card and accounts 100% online in place.
- Off balance sheet products.
17
1. Covid-19 response
Agenda 2. Commercial Activity
- Results analysis
- Asset Quality
- Solvency
- Liquidity and Fixed Income portfolio
- Appendix
18
Net Interest Income
NII performance. € m | NII YoY evolution. € m | |
Recurrent
+8%
YoY
137
14
117 | 116 | 116 | 121 | 122 | ||||
114 | ||||||||
4Q18 | 1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | |
Recurrent | Non-recurrent | |||||
14 | |||||
- | |||||
2 | 3 | ||||
4 | |||||
137 | |||||
117 | 120 | 123 | |||
114 | 114 | ||||
NII 1Q19 | Performing | Retail | Wholesale | Others (*) | NII 1Q20 |
Loan Book | funding | funding |
- Recurrent NII increased +8% YoY supported by loan book and lower wholesale and retail funding cost. Quarterly comparison (+2% QoQ) is affected by the 1Q seasonality and lower contribution from the fixed income portfolio that is more than offset by lower funding costs and performing loan book.
- Good commercial activity in the 1st quarter, increasing Euribor, lower cost of wholesale funding and a stable loan book allow for a supportive net interest income in 2020.
(*) Includes mainly the DGF moratory interest. | 19 |
Net Interest Income: Margins
Margin performance (%) | Customer loan yield and cost funds (%) | |
1.59 | 1.64 | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.62 | 1.59 | 1.61 | 1.58 | ||
1.57 | |||||||||
1.26(1) | |||||||||
1.17 | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.14 | 1.15 | |||||
1.13 | 1.12 | 1.13 | |||||||
1.10 | |||||||||
1Q18 | 2Q18 | 3Q18 | 4Q18 | 1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | |
Customer spread | Net Interest Margin | ||||||||
Recurrent Net Interest Margin |
1.71 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 1.72 | 1.69 | 1.71 | |||
1.68 | 1.66 | 1.64 | ||||||
1.64 | 1.69 | 1.63 | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.63 | 1.61 |
0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.02 | |||
1Q18 | 2Q18 | 3Q18 | 4Q18 | 1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | |||
Customer loan yield | Customer loan yield (performing) | ||||||||||
Cost of customer funds |
- Liberbank has been able to maintain stable margins despite lower reference rates.
(1) Explained by extraordinary income of € 14m from the DGF dispute. | 20 |
Note: NIM = NII / ATAs |
Net Interest Income: Asset yields
Quarterly yields on lending. Basis points (1)
Yield (bps) | 1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | ||
Total Book (Back book) | 169 | 171 | 168 | 166 | 164 | ||
Back book (Exc. Public sector) | 173 | 176 | 175 | 177 | 174 | ||
Front Book | 149 | 149 | 124 | 190 | 186 | ||
Front Book (Exc. Public sector) | 234 | 246 | 242 | 217 | 220 | ||
Mortgages (Back book) | 128 | 133 | 136 | 135 | 133 | ||
Front Book | 195 | 199 | 199 | 173 | 163 | ||
March mortgage front | |||||||
SMEs (Back book) | 233 | 238 | 232 | 231 | 226 | ||
book stood at | |||||||
Front Book | 260 | 271 | 254 | 263 | 266 | 171bps | |
(1) The above rates refer to the drawn amounts and reflect actual contribution to NII
- Front book yields (excl. Public sector) stand 46 bp above back book.
21
Net Interest Income: Cost of funding
Term deposit cost performance (%) (1)
0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.07 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08 | 0.06 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.02 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1Q18 | 2Q18 | 3Q18 | 4Q18 | 1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Stock | New Production | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Term Deposits. Maturity, cost and volume
1,597 | ||||||
0.89% | ||||||
0.79% | ||||||
0.69% | 1,110 | |||||
0.59% | ||||||
841 | 779 | |||||
0.49% | ||||||
0.39% | ||||||
0.29% | 307 | |||||
0.11% | ||||||
0.19% | ||||||
0.06% | 0.07% | 0.05% | ||||
0.09% | ||||||
0.09% | ||||||
-0.01% | ||||||
2Q20 | 3Q20 | 4Q20 | 1Q21 | > 1Q21 | ||
Maturities. Eur m | Cost of maturities | |||||
Maturities of the quarter:
- 1.7bn of term deposits at 8 bps.
- 88m covered bonds at 118 bps.
Capital Markets Maturities (€ m)
2.08% | 1.41% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1.50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
0.38% | 0.17% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
400 | 370 | 310 | 1,200 | 3,050 | |||||||||||||||||||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | > 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
Maturities | Cost of maturities | ||||||||||||||||||||||
3.00%
2.50%
2.00%
1.50%
1.00%
0.50%
0.00%
-0.50%
-1.00%
(1) Euro currency
22
Fee Income
Fee income performance (€ m) | Fee income breakdown | |
Recurrent
+10%
YoY
55
650
45 45 45
45 | 45 | 49 | 50 | |
45 |
1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | ||
Recurrent fee income | Extraordinaries | |||||
€ m | 1Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | QoQ | YoY | ||
(%) | (%) | ||||||
Total Fees | 45 | 55 | 50 | -9.6% | 9.6% | ||
Recurrent net fees | 45 | 49 | 50 | 1.0% | 9.6% | ||
Banking fees | 27 | 29 | 29 | -2.3% | 6.8% | ||
Non-banking fees | 19 | 20 | 21 | 5.7% | 13.6% | ||
Mututal Funds | 7 | 9 | 9 | 2.7% | 25.9% | ||
Insurance | 10 | 10 | 10 | 3.2% | 0.0% | ||
Others* | 2 | 2 | 2 | 32.9% | 42.2% | ||
Non recurrent fees | 0 | 6 | 0 | na | na | ||
Note: Others include brokerage and pension funds among others
- Recurrent fees increase +10% in 1Q20 vs 1Q19.
- Non-bankingfees increase +14% in 1Q20 vs 1Q19, supported by mutual funds +26%.
- Banking fees show a positive trend mainly explained by increased activity.
23
Costs
Number of branches
1,379-10%
1,036 | YoY | ||
752 | 644 | ||
579 | |||
2010 | 2015 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
Number of employee
-3% | ||
6,838 | YoY | |
5,143 | ||
4,007 | 3,802 | 3,701 |
2010 | 2015 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
Costs performance. € m
-4.5% | ||||||||||||||
99 | YoY | |||||||||||||
95 | ||||||||||||||
11 | 10 | |||||||||||||
30 | 26 | |||||||||||||
59 | 58 | |||||||||||||
1Q19 | 1Q20 | |||||||||||||
Personnel costs | Admin costs | Amortizations | ||||||||||||
Efficiency (%) (1) | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | ||||||||||||
Cost to Income | 64% | 58% | ||||||||||||
Cost to Income (exc. Trading) | 66% | 60% | ||||||||||||
- Operating expenses fall by 4.5% YoY supported by administrative expenses and personnel costs.
- Cost to income ratio keeps improving.
- Liberbank keeps investing in restructuring the branch network and in digital transformation of the bank.
(1) | Like for Like comparison. Removing SRF contribution from 1Q19 and non-recurrent NII from 1Q20 | 24 |
Impairments
Quarterly Cost of Risk (1)
49
COVID 19
25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 |
1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 |
Underlying CoR | Total CoR |
Quarterly loan loss provisions
40 | ||||||||||||||||||
35 | 31 | |||||||||||||||||
30 | ||||||||||||||||||
25 | ||||||||||||||||||
16 | ||||||||||||||||||
20 | ||||||||||||||||||
15 | ||||||||||||||||||
10 | ||||||||||||||||||
14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | ||||||||||||||
5 | ||||||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||||||
1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | ||||||||||||||
Underlying LLP (Eur m) | Generic LLP (Eur m) | |||||||||||||||||
- Liberbank booked a € 16m generic credit provision, as a precautionary measure.
(1) | CoR: annualized loan loss provisions divided by average loans. | 25 |
P&L
Var. QoQ | Var. YoY | ||||||||||
€m | 1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | €m | % | €m | % | ||
Interest Income | 134 | 138 | 137 | 140 | 154 | 13 | 10% | 20 | 15% | ||
Interest Cost | -20 | -21 | -20 | -20 | -17 | 3 | -13% | 3 | -15% | ||
NET INTEREST INCOME | 114 | 116 | 116 | 121 | 137 | 16 | 13% | 23 | 20% | ||
Dividends | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -89% | -5 | -96% | ||
Results from equity method stakes | 2 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -4 | -95% | -2 | -89% | ||
Net fees | 45 | 45 | 45 | 55 | 50 | -5 | -10% | 4 | 10% | ||
Gains on financial assets & others | 5 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 231% | 1 | 16% | ||
Other operating revenues/(expenses) | -21 | -5 | -11 | -41 | -15 | 26 | -63% | 6 | -27% | ||
GROSS INCOME | 150 | 188 | 159 | 142 | 177 | 35 | 25% | 27 | 18% | ||
Administrative expenses | -89 | -85 | -88 | -79 | -85 | -6 | 8% | 4 | -4% | ||
Staff expenses | -59 | -59 | -60 | -58 | -58 | 0 | 0% | 0 | -1% | ||
General expenses | -30 | -26 | -27 | -20 | -26 | -6 | 30% | 3 | -11% | ||
Amortizations | -11 | -11 | -11 | -11 | -10 | 0 | -3% | 1 | -6% | ||
PRE PROVISION PROFIT | 51 | 93 | 60 | 53 | 82 | 29 | 55% | 31 | 61% | ||
Provisions | -6 | -7 | -5 | -7 | -4 | 3 | -44% | 2 | -30% | ||
Impairment on financial assets | -14 | -16 | -16 | -15 | -31 | -15 | 101% | -17 | 126% | ||
Impairment losses on other assets | 0 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 197% | -2 | nm | ||
Other profits or losses | -3 | -6 | -5 | -18 | -17 | 1 | -5% | -14 | nm | ||
Discontinued operations (net) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -150% | 0 | nm | ||
PROFIT BEFORE TAXES | 28 | 62 | 32 | 11 | 27 | 16 | 138% | -1 | -3% | ||
Taxes | -7 | -10 | -8 | 3 | -8 | -11 | nm | -1 | 7% | ||
NET INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE | 21 | 52 | 24 | 15 | 19 | 5 | 34% | -2 | -8% | ||
26
1. Covid-19 response
Agenda 2. Commercial Activity
- Results analysis
- Asset Quality
- Solvency
- Liquidity and Fixed Income portfolio
- Appendix
27
NPLs
NPL evolution. € m
-€2,393m | |
(-75% vs | |
3,205 | 2016) |
1,142
813812
2016 | 2018 | 2019 | 1Q20 |
NPL ratio market evolution (1)
13.9% | 2nd lowest | ||
11.3% | among | ||
8.6% | peers (2) | ||
9.1% | 6.8% | ||||||||
8.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | ||
6.4% | |||||||||
4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | ||||||
3.3% 3.2% | |||||||||
2016 | 2Q17 | 2017 | 2Q18 | 2018 | 1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 2019 | 1Q20 |
Liberbank | Sector |
NPLs coverage. | NPLs Mix | |||||||
113% | Real Estate | |||||||
Developers | ||||||||
9% | ||||||||
Other | ||||||||
17% | ||||||||
49% | 51% | |||||||
44% | ||||||||
23% | Corporates | |||||||
31% | ||||||||
Mortgages | ||||||||
43% | ||||||||
Total | Real Estate | Corporates & | Residential | Other | ||||
Developers | SMEs (exc | mortgages | individuals | |||||
RED) |
(1) | NPLs over gross loan book (not including repos nor off-balance sheet assets).Source: Bank of Spain. February data. | 28 |
(2) | Spanish listed Banks as of most updated available figures. |
Foreclosed assets
Foreclosed assets evolution (gross book value € m) (1)
28 | |||
133 | |||
1,462 | 1,357 | ||
2019 | Entries | Sales & Other | 1Q20 |
Turnover rate (1), (2)
40%
35%
29% | |
30% | |
25% | |
25% | 22% |
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
Outflows mix. 1Q20 (1)
Foreclosed assets breakdown | Gross | NBV | NBV Mix | Coverage |
(€ m) | Debt | |||
Residential | 373 | 209 | 29% | 44% |
100 million Euros of total outflows in the quarter
Commercial RE | 185 | 121 | 17% | 35% | Residential | |
Property 26% | ||||||
Building under construction | 254 | 133 | 19% | 48% | ||
Land | 545 | 255 | 35% | 53% | Land 61% | CRE 3% |
Total | 1,357 | 718 | 100% | 47% |
Building under
construction
10%
(1) | Gross debt excluding investment properties | 29 |
(2) | Turnover = Annualized outflows over average foreclosed assets |
NPAs. Summary
Gross NPA. € bn
6.2
3.24.2
1.82.9
1.12.2
3.0 | 0.8 | |||||||||||
2.5 | ||||||||||||
1.9 | ||||||||||||
1.4 | ||||||||||||
2016 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 | |||||||||
REOs | NPLs | |||||||||||
NPA ratio(1)
24.0%
16.9%
11.4%
8.2%
2016 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
NPL ratio
13.9%
7.8%
4.5%
3.2%
2016 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
Texas ratio(2)
127%
87%
66%
52%
2016 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q20 |
30
- NPA ratio calculated as NPLs & foreclosed assets over gross loans and foreclosed assets (not including repos)
- Texas ratio calculated as gross NPLs & foreclosed assets over equity (excl. minority interests) and provisions related to NPLs & foreclosed assets
1. Covid-19 response
Agenda 2. Commercial Activity
- Results analysis
- Asset Quality
- Solvency
- Liquidity and Fixed Income portfolio
- Appendix
31
Solvency
CET1 fully-loaded performance (1) (2)
11 | ||||||||||||
13.0% | 13 | 13.0% | ||||||||||
8 | ||||||||||||
17 | ||||||||||||
CET1 Ratio | 1Q20 | Change in | Valuation | Dividend | CET1 Ratio |
Dec 19 | Earnings | RWAs | adj. & others | 2019 | Mar 20 |
Upside to CET1 and total capital fully-loaded
- Caser transaction: +17bps and +37bps in CET1 and total capital fully loaded.(3)
- Market valuation as of 30th April (EDP and fixed income portfolio) +12bps.
- EC package, pending details and impact calculation:
- Software-intangible current deduction of € 123m (71pb).
- SME and infrastructure supporting factor: +3bps.
- 2020 Organic capital generation.
- IRB models approval.
- IFRS9. CET1-FL incorporates the full impact (28pb).
- CET1 ratio fully-loaded stands at 13.0%, +52bp YoY and flat QoQ, as market impact and lending growth are offset by organic generation, NPAs reduction and 2019 dividend added back to capital ratios.
- We expect potential upside to our CET1 due to Caser transaction, market evolution, recent legislative initiatives and organic generation among others.
(1) | CET1 FL incorporates the full impact of IFRS-9. It includes full net profit 2019 and 1Q20. It fully deducts €123m of intangibles from software. | 32 |
(2) | The solvency ratios deduct 61.6 million treasury shares acquired under the share repurchase program approved in December19. | |
(3) | Caser, subject to final regulatory approval. |
Solvency
Capital buffers (1) (2)
€791m | 275 bps | |||||||||||||
CET 1 FL buffer | MDA buffer | |||||||||||||
(3) | (3) | |||||||||||||
15.8% | ||||||||||||||
14.5% | ||||||||||||||
13.0% | 1.6% | |||||||||||||
1.6% | ||||||||||||||
2.6% | ||||||||||||||
2.0% | ||||||||||||||
1.4% | 14.2% | |||||||||||||
2.5% | 13.0% | |||||||||||||
4.5% | 8.41% | |||||||||||||
2020 SREP | ||||||||||||||
Fully Loaded | Phased In | |||||||||||||
Requirement | ||||||||||||||
CET 1 Pillar 1 | CET 1 CCB | |||||||||||||
CET 1 P2R | AT1 | |||||||||||||
T2 |
TBVps (4)
+7% | ||||||||||||||||
YoY | ||||||||||||||||
0.98 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||
0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
0.93 | ||||||||||||||||
0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
0.88 | 0.97 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||
0.92 | ||||||||||||||||
0.88 | ||||||||||||||||
Dec 18 | Mar 19 | Dec19 | Mar 20 | |||||||||||||
TBVps | Dividend | |||||||||||||||
- As of March20, Liberbank has a 457 bp (€ 791m) buffer over the SREP-CET1 requirement(3) and 275bp MDA buffer(3).
- The Board has established that the new proposed application of 2019 results, which will be submitted for approval by a new general shareholders meeting to be held within the legal term prescribed, is to apply the 2019 results in full to voluntary reserves, which means the cancellation of the dividend of € 22m against 2019 results, without prejudice to the possibility of eventually deciding to propose to such general shareholders meeting a distribution following a reevaluation of the situation when the uncertainties caused by the COVID-19 crisis disappear.
(1) | CET1 FL incorporates the full impact of IFRS-9. It includes full net profit 2019 and 1Q20. It fully deducts €123m of intangibles from software. | 33 |
(2) | The solvency ratios deduct 61.6 million treasury shares acquired under the share repurchase program approved in December19. |
- Applying P2R (CRD-V) flexibility. Maximum distributable amount calculated as total capital phased in minus total SREP requirement.
- TBVPs deducst 61.6 million treasury shares that are intended to be cancelled.
1. Covid-19 response
Agenda 2. Commercial Activity
- Results analysis
- Asset Quality
- Solvency
- Liquidity and Fixed Income portfolio
- Appendix
34
Liquidity position
Liquidity position. € bn | Liquidity ratios | |
5.1 | 10.7 |
Ratio | 1Q19 | 4Q19 | 1Q20 | |||||
5.7 | ||||||||
LtD | 95% | 100% | 99% | |||||
LCR | 265% | 221% | 248% | |||||
NSFR | 123% | 113% | 112% | |||||
Liquid assets (exc. | Covered Issuance | Total | ||||||
used collateral and | Capacity | |||||||
with haircuts) |
35
Wholesale funding
Wholesale funding. Breakdown (€ bn) | Wholesale Funding. Price Evolution (%)(1) | |
€ 1.5bn | 0.35% | |||
0.32% | ||||
Money | 0.28% | |||
Markets | ||||
€ 5.3bn | 12% | |||
Capital | ||||
Markets 42% | ||||
ECB 45% | ||||
Mar-18 | Mar-19 | Dec-19 |
€ 5.7bn
1.10%
-0.49%-0.47%
Money Markets | ECB - TLTRO2 Capital Markets |
1. Price at the end of the period Source: Liberbank Treasury (inventarios)
36
Fixed Income portfolio
Fixed income portfolio. Evolution (€ bn) (1)
9.7 | 9.6 | ||
9.1 | 9.1 | ||
Dec-18 | Mar-19 | Dec-19 | Mar-20 |
(1) Based in acquisition cost
Fixed income portfolio. Issuer breakdown
€0.9bn Private
Debt 10%
Public
Debt 90%
€8.2bn
- 1.7bn of SAREB
bonds included.
Fixed income portfolio. Breakdown (2)
Portfolio | Amount | Yield | Duration |
(€ bn) | |||
Fair value through OCI | 0.4 | 1.13% | 0.53 |
Amortised cost | 8.7 | 1.33% | 3.14 |
Total | 9.1 | 1.32% | 3.04 |
(2) Weighted average duration in years. Yields EOP.
37
1. Covid-19 response
Agenda 2. Commercial Activity
- Results analysis
- Asset Quality
- Solvency
- Liquidity and Fixed Income portfolio
- Appendix
38
Policy support
Spanish Government
- Government guarantees ("ICO Lines): Up to €100bn government backed loans for Corporates and SMEs, €40bn have already been approved. Coverage by the State stands between 60% and 80%. The full €100bn would represent c.25% of current business loan book in Spain and c.10% of GDP.
- Payment holidays: for customers in need for mortgages, consumer loans and SMEs.
- ERTEs: Facilitation of temporary layoffs or working hours reduction, remunerated by the state, up to 70% of the salary with certain limitations.
- Salary support: Mainly aimed at unemployed, self-employed and house workers.
- Tax payment delays: Mainly aimed at SMEs and self employed. Maximum of 6 months as of now.
European Union
- Corona response: € 37bn investment supporting SMEs and health sector.
- European investment bank: € 25bn guarantees program for viable but vulnerable companies.
- Working capital. € 8bn of liquidity lines for c. 100k SMEs across Europe.
- SURE Project: € 100bn fund to help affected companies and employees across Europe, under discussion.
Regulators | • | Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program: Envelope of €750 bn until the end of 2020 with additional | |||
assets included and capital key flexibility. | |||||
• | TLTRO III: Increased eligible amount, 50bps cost decrease for one year & relaxed collateral requirements. | ||||
• | Liquidity and solvency relaxation: LCR allowed to drop below 100%, Banks allowed to operate bellow P2G, | ||||
AT1 and T2 allowed to cover P2R. | |||||
• | ECB has given flexibility in prudential treatment of loans backed by Covid-19 measures, and has asked not | ||||
to apply excessive procyclical measures when applying IFRS 9. | |||||
• | Stress tests and NPE strategy: Both postponed, NPE strategy until further notice and Stress test until | ||||
2021. | |||||
39 | |||||
Note: This is a representation of the main measures announced by public entities, although there could be some additional ones not reflected. | |||||
Balance Sheet
Interbank (€ 2.2 bn)(1)
Net lending
(€ 25.3bn)
Fixed Income
(€ 10 bn)
Foreclosed Assets (€ 0.7bn) (3)
DTAs (€ 1.8bn)
Other (€ 2.0bn) (2)
Assets € 42.9 bn
(1)Interbank include cash and interbank deposits
Investments (€ 0.9bn)
Customer
deposits
(€ 25.0bn)
ECB (€ 5.7bn)
Long term funding (€ 1.5bn)
Interbank & repos (€ 1.6bn)
Covered bonds
(€ 3.4bn)
Tax liabilities (€ 0.1bn) &
Rest (€ 2.1bn)(4)
Equity (€ 3.1bn)
Liabilities & Equity € 42.9 bn
Demand deposits | 81% |
Term deposits | 19% |
Marketable Securities (€ 0.4bn)
(2)Rest of assets include tangible and intangible assets and derivative hedging among others (3)Assets currently held for sale
(4)Rest of liabilities include provisions, accrued interests and micro-hedging among others
40
Shareholders and Book value
Shareholder base
Foundations (2)
Share, Book value and Tangible Book Value(1)
4Q19 | 1Q20 | |
Share and liquidity: | ||
# O/S shares (m) (2) | 3,041 | 2,979 |
Last price (€) | 0.34 | 0.14 |
Free Float
39.7%
23.4%
Corporación
Masaveu (1)
5.8%
Aivilo Spain SL
(4) 7.1%
Max price (€) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
Min price (€) | 0.27 | 0.12 |
Avg. traded volume (#shares m) | 4.4 | 6.2 |
Avg. traded volume (€ m) | 1.34 | 1.66 |
Market Capitalization (€ m) | 1,019 | 415 |
Book Value: |
Oceanwood (3)
DWS 3.2%
17.7%
BV. (€ m) | 3,114 | 3,098 |
Norges 3.1%
(1)Includes Flicka Forestal, Corporación Masaveu and Fundación María Cristina Masaveu (2)Includes Fundación Caja Asturias, Fundación Caja Extremadura and Fundación Caja Cantabria (3)Includes stake through derivatives
(4)Includes Inmosan SA
Source: CNMV as of March 31st 2020
TBV. (€ m) | 2,964 | 2,946 |
Ratios: | ||
BVps (€) | 1.02 | 1.04 |
TBVps (€) (2) | 0.98 | 0.99 |
(1)Book value deducting intangible assets
(2)1Q20 deducts 61.6 million of treasury shares planned to be cancelled.
41
Institutional Investors & Analysts Contact
desarrollo.corporativo.relación.inversores@liberbank.es
+ 34 91 422 58 37
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Liberbank SA published this content on 04 May 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 May 2020 12:38:19 UTC