INTELLIGENT WAVE INC. | 4847

Sponsored Research May 12, 2023

Sessa Investment Research

OP rebounded sequentially on strong sales

GPM ticked up on cloud sales offsetting increased labor cost

SUMMARY

  • IWI announced 3Q cumulative (9M) FY23/6 financial results at 15:30 on Wed. 5/10. Headline numbers were net sales ¥9,896mn (+26.3% YoY) and OP ¥1,136mn (+20.4% YoY), with GPM decreasing from 32.1% → 31.5%, and OPM decreasing from 12.0% → 11.5%. Actual 9M and 3Q-only results are shown in the table below. The YoY quarterly trend of net sales is 1Q +62%, 2Q +19% and 3Q +5%. The YoY quarterly trend of OP is 1Q +282%, 2Q -9% and 3Q -28% (see graphs on the right). Relative to 5-year average cumulative 3Q (9M) progress ratios for net sales, operating income and ordinary income of 71.8%, 63.8% and 62.9%, respectively, actual 9M FY23/6 progress ratios were 73.3%, 63.1% and 62.9%, respectively. IWI left full-term guidance unchanged.
  • The consecutive slowdown in the YoY quarterly trend of net sales is largely a function of the YoY base effect relative to high growth in hardware sales starting in the 3Q of last term related to large-scale FEP system replacement orders (hardware is included in Third-party products below). The short-term deterioration in profit growth and profit margins is in part due to the unexpected cost overrun for focus strategic growth area cloud service business, and increased deployment of personnel expense. One-of-a-kind IOASIS merchant-acquiring service in particular has a relatively higher amount of labor- intensive customization work. Here it is worth noting that GPM actually ticked up sequentially from the 2Q to the 3Q (31.8% → 32.2%), and OPM (10.4% → 10.7%), as growth in cloud service sales increased to offset the rise in labor cost (cloud service is included in Own services below).
  • To explain these two key takeaway points through figures, Third-party product sales which includes hardware were ¥1,454mn (+121.4% YoY), but ¥1,038mn was in the 1Q, and 3Q-only was ¥234mn (-53.2% YoY). Cloud service sales (included in Own services) were ¥1,351mn (+70.4% YoY), while cloud service GP was down -27.4% YoY.

IWI FY23/6 9M and 3Q-onlyNon-consolidated Financial Results Summary

JPY mn, %

FY22/6

FY23/6

CHG

PCT

FY22/6

FY23/6

CHG

PCT

[J-GAAP]

9M act

9M act

AMT

YOY

3Q act

3Q act

AMT

YOY

Net sales

7,835

9,897

2,062

26.3

2,947

3,107

159

5.4

• Software development

3,046

3,508

462

15.2

1,067

1,161

94

8.8

• In-house products

339

154

(185)

(54.7)

53

43

(10)

(19.6)

• System service

31

20

(11)

(34.8)

14

5

(10)

(67.9)

• Third-party products

657

1,454

797

121.4

499

234

(266)

(53.2)

FLOW total

4,073

5,136

1,063

26.1

1,635

1,442

(192)

(11.8)

• Maintence

1,952

2,305

353

18.1

673

808

134

20.0

• Maintence of 3P products

457

542

84

18.4

150

190

40

26.7

• Own services

990

1,526

537

54.2

365

529

164

44.9

• Other services

363

388

25

6.9

124

138

14

11.0

STOCK total

3,762

4,761

999

26.6

1,313

1,665

352

26.8

Gross Profit

2,513

3,121

608

24.2

1,016

1,000

(15)

(1.5)

GPM (%)

32.1%

31.5%

34.5%

32.2%

Operating income

944

1,136

192

20.4

465

333

(132)

(28.4)

OPM (%)

12.0%

11.5%

15.8%

10.7%

Ordinary income

965

1,157

192

19.9

465

333

(132)

(28.4)

Net income

659

781

122

18.5

321

223

(98)

(30.6)

Source: compiled by SIR from TANSHIN financial statements.

3Q Flash

Net sales

YoY

4,000

64

3,500

56

3,000

48

2,500

40

2,000

32

1,500

24

1,000

16

500

8

0

0

(8)

(16)

OP

OPM

600

18

500

15

400

12

300

9

200

6

100

3

0

0

Source: compiled by SIR from TANSHIN

financial statements. Units: JPY million, %

Chris Schreiber CFA

Company Specialist research@sessapartners.co.jp

This report was prepared by Sessa Partners on behalf of INTELLIGENT WAVE INC. Please refer to the legal disclaimer at the end for details.

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IWI - Intelligent Wave Inc. published this content on 16 May 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 16 May 2023 00:59:01 UTC.