1Q24 RESULTS
30 APRIL 2024
Disclaimer
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Presentation prepared with Group data at closing of 31 March 2024, unless otherwise noted.
2
1Q24 Highlights |
3
1 Q 2 4 H I G H L I G H T S
A strong start to the year
Positive activity dynamics
in a quarter affected by seasonality
High-quality net income growth yoy
in a seasonal quarter with banking tax fully booked in Q1
NEW LOANS TO THE PRIVATE SECTOR(1)
+3.5 % yoy
+11.6 % qoq
WEALTH MGMT. (customer funds)(2)
+4.4 % ytd
1Q24 Net inflows(3): €3.4 Bn
NET INCOME
€1,005 M
+17.5 % yoy ⎟ -13.1 % qoq
NII | WEALTH + |
PROTECTION REV.(4) |
+27.4% yoy +12.0% yoy | |
+1.2% qoq | +1.1% qoq adj.(5) |
Asset quality remains under control
and evolving as expected
Capital strength supports high distribution
ordinary and extraordinary
% NPL
2.8 %
71% NPL coverage
% CoR ttm
0.29 %
1Q24 annualised: 0.28%
% CET1
12.3 %
Max. amount of ongoing 3rd SBB deducted in full
DISTRIBUTION SINCE YE21(6)
€7.4 Bn
∼€4.6 Bn pending to reach ∼€12 Bn 2022-24e target
RoTE up to 15.8% (+5.3 pp yoy) with upgraded outlook | FY24e NII: mid-single digit growth yoy |
FY24e % RoTE >16%
- New production of residential mortgages, consumer and business lending. (2) Mutual funds, managed portfolios and SICAVs; pension plans; and life-savings insurance (on-balance sheet, including unit
linked, and off-balance sheet). (3) Ex markets. (4) Wealth includes revenues from AuMs and savings insurance; protection includes revenues from life-risk insurance and insurance distribution fees. (5) Adjusted | 4 |
for seasonal effects (day-count and 4Q success fees in Wealth management). (6) FY22 and FY23 dividends plus 1st, 2nd and 3rd SBB. | |
1 Q 2 4 H I G H L I G H T S
The Spanish economy continues to surprise on the upside
Q1 activity indicators support improved GDP outlook
2024e-25e GDP growth in Spain revised upwards
» PMIs indicate improved | 60 | 55.3 |
Spain Real GDP(1)(2) rebased to 100=FY23
105 Previous projection
Current projection
103
2024e: 1.9% y o y vs. 1.4% before
2025e: 2.2% y o y vs. 2.0% before
activity outlook | 55 | Spain | |||
Composite PMI, monthly index(3) | 50 | 50.3 | |||
45 | Eurozone | ||||
40 | |||||
Sep-22 | Jan-23 | May-23 | Sep-23 | Jan-24 |
100
2023 2024e 2025e
- Employment supports consumption
Workers registered to the
Social Security system
21 | 21.0 M |
20 | +2.7% yoy |
19 |
Both Spain and Portugal expected to outperform
the Eurozone − Real GDP(2), % yoy
in Spain (4), quarterly avg. seasonally adj. in million
18 | |||||
1Q19 | 1Q20 | 1Q21 | 1Q22 | 1Q23 | 1Q24 |
1.9% 1.6%
0.7%
Eurozone Spain Portugal
2024e
2.2% 2.3%
1.7%
Eurozone Spain Portugal
2025e
- Tourism bound for another record year following a strong 2023
International tourist expenditure in Spain (5), ttm in €Bn
120 | €112 Bn |
80 | +23% yoy |
40 | |
0 | |
Feb-19 | Feb-20Feb-21Feb-22Feb-23Feb-24 |
(1) Source: historical data from INE. (2) Source: CaixaBank Research for projections (as of April 2024). (3) Source: S&P Global. Latest available information: March 2024. (4) Source: Spanish Ministry of Inclusion, Social Security and Migration. | 5 |
(5) Source: INE. Tourism Expenditure Survey. Latest available information: February 2024. | |
1 Q 2 4 H I G H L I G H T S
New lending gathers steam particularly in mortgage and consumer lending
POSITIVE NEW LENDING DYNAMICS
New lending, €Bn (Group ex BPI)
+11.6%
16.4 | ||||
15.8 | ||||
14.7 | ||||
1Q23 | 4Q23 | 1Q24 |
+3.5%
LOAN FRONT | |||
480 bps +32 bps vs. 1Q23 | |||
BOOK YIELDS ( 1 ) | |||
ACCRETIVE TO BACK BOOK | |||
+24.1% | |||||
2.7 | 2.8 | ∼60% | |||
at fixed | |||||
New residential | 2.1 | 2.2 | +3.2% | rate(2) | |
mortgages | |||||
1Q22 | 1Q23 | 4Q23 | 1Q24 | ||
+15.0% | ∼90% | ||||
3.0 | |||||
2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | to clients with | |||||||||
New consumer | source of | |||||||||||
+12.5% | ||||||||||||
lending | income paid | |||||||||||
into CABK(3) | ||||||||||||
1Q22 | 1Q23 | 4Q23 | 1Q24 | |||||||||
-3.5% | ∼60% | |||||||||||
10.9 | 10.5 | |||||||||||
9.0 | 9.3 | to large | ||||||||||
companies | ||||||||||||
New business | ||||||||||||
+13.8% | ||||||||||||
lending(4) | ||||||||||||
1Q22 | 1Q23 | 4Q23 | 1Q24 | |||||||||
- Group ex BPI. Yields are compiled from long-term lending production data (loans and credit facilities, including those that are syndicated) of CaixaBank,S.A. and MicroBank; excluding public sector. (2) Breakdown of 1Q24 new mortgage
production: 58% at fixed rate, 34% hybrid (which have a fixed interest rate for a period of time and floating afterwards); 8% floating. (3) % over personal loans by CaixaBank. (4) Includes Business Banking, RE business, Corporate Banking in Spain and | 6 |
International Branches. Includes loans, syndicate loans and credit facilities (excluding factoring and confirming). |
1 Q 2 4 H I G H L I G H T S
Stable loan-book while seizing market share
Supported by new lending rebound and lower pre-payments
Performing loans(1), 31 March 2024
€344 Bn +0.1% ytd
M A R K E T S H A R E G A I N S | |||||
Market share in Spain, % | |||||
BUSINESS | CONSUMER | RESIDENTIAL | |||
o/w: | LENDING | LENDING | MORTGAGES | Business | 23.5% |
+1.1% ytd | -0.7%ytd | ||||
+2.0% ytd | |||||
loans(2) | +5 bps ytd |
GROWTH IN BUSINESS AND CONSUMER LENDING
OFFSETS STRUCTURAL DELEVERAGING IN MORTGAGES AND PUBLIC SECTOR
Performing loans waterfall ytd, € Bn
+0.1%
+1.7 | +0.4 | (0.9) | (0.8) | |||||||
Consumer | Mortgages | |||||||||
Others(3) | 344.4 | |||||||||
344.1 | Businesses | |||||||||
Mortgage deleveraging slows down
Performing mortgages, Δ qoq in € Bn
Mar-23 | Dec-23 | Mar-24 |
-0.9 | ||
-1.5 | ||
-1.9 |
Dec-23 | Mar-24 | ||
(1) Refer to the Appendix for additional details. (2) Loans to non-financial businesses. Based on the latest Bank of Spain data (March 2024). (3) Includes "Public sector" and "Other loans to individuals-other". | 7 |
1 Q 2 4 H I G H L I G H T S
Customer funds up in the quarter
Solid growth in wealth management largely offsets adverse seasonality in deposits and others
Customer funds(1), 31 March 2024
€636 Bn +1.0% ytd
o/w:
WEALTH
MANAGEMENT(2)
+4.4% ytd
DEPOSITS &
OTHERS(3)
-1.0%ytd
M A R K E T S H A R E G A I N S
Market share in Spain, %
Market share in Wealth management + Deposits(4)
26.3%
+5 bps ytd
CUSTOMER FUNDS GROWTH UNDERPINNED BY WEALTH MANAGEMENT
MORE THAN OFFSETTING SEASONAL IMPACTS IN DEPOSITS AND OTHER FUND S
Customer funds waterfall ytd, € Bn
+1.0%
Growth in % deposits with cost slows down
Remunerated deposits over total ( 6 ) , % eop | |
+ 4 p p | + 1 p p |
+3.4 | +6.8 | ||
Market effects | |||
630.3 | Net inflows | ||
(wealth | |||
into wealth | mgmt.) | ||
mgmt. (ex | |||
markets) |
(2.5) (1.6)
Deposits Others(5)636.5
+ 4 p p | 20% | 21% | ||||||
+ 3 p p | 16% | |||||||
12% | ||||||||
9% | ||||||||
Mar-23 | Jun-23 | Sep-23 | Dec-23 | Mar-24 |
Dec-23 | Mar-24 |
COMMERCIAL | €27.5 Bn | |
GAP(7) | +49% yoy |
- Refer to the Appendix for additional details. (2) Mutual funds, managed portfolios and SICAVs; pension plans; and life-savings insurance (on-balance sheet, including unit linked, and off-balance sheet). (3) Deposits (including retail securities issuances), "Other funds" and "Other managed resources". (4) Combined market share including mutual funds (CaixaBank AM), pension plans, savings insurance and deposits from households and non-financial businesses. Based on INVERCO, ICEA and Bank of Spain
data. Latest available data (March 2024). For savings insurance, sector data for March are internal estimates. (5) Includes "Other funds" and "Other managed resources", the latest affected by seasonal items. (6) % of remunerated client deposits (excluding | 8 |
employee deposits, retail securities and other) over total deposit balances (Group). (7) Total deposits (demand and time deposits, excluding retail securities) minus loans. |
1 Q 2 4 H I G H L I G H T S
Wealth management starts 2024 on a strong note
Strong growth in wealth management balances in Q1 with support from both markets and net inflows
Wealth management (customer funds)(1), €Bn eop
246 | ||||||||
+9.1% | ||||||||
236 | ||||||||
226 | 225 | 229 | 229 | |||||
217 | 215 | 217 | +4.4% | |||||
1Q22 | 2Q22 | 3Q22 | 4Q22 | 1Q23 | 2Q23 | 3Q23 | 4Q23 | 1Q24 |
1 Q 2 4 N E T I N F L O W S I N T O W E A L T H M A N A G E M E N T ( 1 )
Breakdown by type of product, % of total
- 35%
Savings insurance(2)
€3.4 Bn | ∼65% |
Off-Balance sheet AuMs
Seizing potential
Untapped potential within our client base…
% of clients with wealth management products(3)
…and in our core markets
Wealth mgmt. products in % of total household savings(6)
Leveraging on a differential advisory model and fully-owned factories
26.8% | ||||
20.9% | ||||
17.9% | ||||
17% 28%
Best Domestic Private Bank in Spain
39% and Portugal 2024 − Euromoney
Mar-21 | Dec-23 | Dec-23 | ||
Clients from former BKIA(4) | Other CABK clients(5) |
Portugal Spain Eurozone
- Mutual funds, managed portfolios and SICAVs; pension plans; and life-savings insurance (on-balance sheet, including unit linked, and off-balance sheet). (2) Includes unit linked. (3) Individual clients in Spain, by origin. Including mutual funds,
pension plans, savings insurance and securities. (4) Excluding clients shared by former Bankia network and CABK. (5) CABK clients as of March 2021 (merger date), including those shared with former Bankia. (6) Latest available data (4Q23). Source: | 9 |
Eurostat, Bank of Spain and Bank of Portugal. | |
1 Q 2 4 H I G H L I G H T S
Positive dynamics in protection insurance on the back of MyBox
Sustained growth in protection premia
Stock of protection premia(1) , €M
+8.7%
809880
underpinned by successful deployment of MyBox offering
N E W P R O D U C T I O N O F P R O T E C T I O N I N S U R A N C E P R E M I A ( 2 )
1Q24 ttm: breakdown of new premiaby type of product in % of total
44% Life-risk | 56% | Non-life | 17% |
HEALTH | |||
AUTO | 15% | ||
HOME | 15% | ||
OTHER | 9% |
Seizing potential
Mar-23Mar-24
Seizing potential within our client base
% of clients with non-life insurance products(3)
MyBox in % of new premia, 1Q24 ttm
…and in our core markets
Non-life insurance premia in % of GDP(6)
82% MyBox
Market share gains(7)
Leveraging on a best-in-class distribution network and
20.2% |
14.8% |
10.8% |
2.2%
3.7%
2.8%
LIFE-RISK 26.0% +282 bps yoy
fully-owned factories
Mar-21 | Dec-23 | Dec-23 | ||
Clients from former BKIA(4) | Other CABK clients(5) |
Portugal Spain Eurozone
HEALTH 30.7% +175 bps yoy
- Earned premia ytd. Includes VidaCaixa life-risk premia plus SegurCaixa Adeslas non-life premia sold through the bancassurance network. (2) All insurance products (including single premium with multiannual tenor) are presented on an annual basis to facilitate comparisons across all product lines. Including life-risk and non-life. CABK ex BPI and considering premia sold through the bancassurance channel. (3) Individual clients in Spain, by origin. Including home, health, dental, auto
insurance and other non-life insurance for self-employed.(4) Excluding clients shared by former Bankia network and CABK. (5) CABK clients as of March 2021 (merger date), including those shared with former Bankia. Based on ICEA data. (6) Source: | 10 |
OECD, latest available data (2022). (7) In Spain. Based on ICEA latest available data (December 2023). |
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CaixaBank SA published this content on 30 April 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 30 April 2024 09:57:05 UTC.