MARKET SNAPSHOT: Dow Logs 3rd Gain In A Row, Ahead Of Key Inflation Report

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02/13/2018 | 10:37 pm


By Mark DeCambre, MarketWatch , Ryan Vlastelica



Anticipation builds ahead of Wednesday's important CPI report



U.S. stocks on Tuesday finished in the green, marking a third consecutive gain for equity gauges, ahead of a key inflation reading, even as shades of last week's brutal selling lingered.



What are main benchmarks doing?



The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 39.18 points, or 0.2%, to 24,640.45, supported by a rise shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (>> Goldman Sachs Group) and Caterpillar Inc. (>> Caterpillar), while a decline in United Technologies Corp.'s stock (>> United Technologies Corporation) represented the biggest drag on blue chips.



The S&P 500 index added 6.94 points, or 0.3%, to 2,662.94, with the consumer staples and the real-estate sectors supporting the broad-market benchmark's climb.



The Nasdaq Composite Index , meanwhile, rose 31.55 points to 7,013.51, an advance of about 0.5%.



Despite the multisession rally, the S&P 500 and the Dow remain more than 7% below record levels, hit late January, after massive declines that took hold in earnest last week. Less than halfway through February, the market has already matched the number of 1% moves seen over all of 2017. The Nasdaq is about 6.6% shy of its January all-time high.



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The next big catalyst for the could come from Wednesday's January consumer-price-inflation data. There are concerns that if CPI comes in hotter than expected, it could spark another selloff, as worries about higher prices and its effect on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate hiking plans triggered last week's dramatic selling and spike in volatility.





Economists polled by MarketWatch are expecting a 0.4% rise for headline inflation, and a 0.2% gain for core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices.



Investors have also been considering a $4.4 trillion federal budget that U.S. President Donald Trump has proposed, which would see the deficit nearly double in 2017 and rise some $7 trillion over the next decade. Of course, few expect the budget in its current form will be enacted by Congress, especially given that it pushes for deep cuts in social programs. But the tax cuts signed into law in December and the spending deal reached last week are already seen as adding to the deficit.





What are strategists saying?



"I would characterize today's activity as nothing more than investors, both long and short, taking a rest and they are waiting for CPI to get the next data on inflation," said Ian Winer, head of the equities division at Wedbush Securities. "It has been a really violent last couple of weeks," he said.



"If inflation continues to pick up, the equity market will continue to struggle from here. If worries about inflation come true, the problem is that central banks will have no choice but to raise rates, which won't just have an impact on the equity markets but also on the real economy," said Nick Clay, the lead manager of the BNY Mellon Global Equity Higher Income Fund.



"The recent 10% correction basically just unwound the gains we saw over January. Valuations remain high; the U.S. is one of the most expensive markets in the world. I think volatility will remain elevated, and we could easily see another 15% downside. Only then will valuations start to become a little more reasonable." Correction refers to the market's fall of at least 10% from a recent peak, which is the typical characterization for such a drop from a peak.





Which stocks are active?



AmerisourceBergen Corp.(>> AmerisourceBergen) shares jumped to settle up 9.% after Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.(>> Walgreens Boots Alliance) reportedly made a takeover approach for the drug distributor, according to sources cited by The Wall Street Journal. Shares of Walgreens rose by about 0.1%.



Under Armour Inc.(>> Under Armour) shares surged 17.4% after the sports-gear maker posted stronger-than-expected revenue . Blue Apron Holdings Inc. (>> Blue Apron Holdings Inc) jumped 6% after losses that were smaller than expected and revenue beat forecasts .



PepsiCo Inc.(>> PepsiCo, Inc.) finished the session up by 0.4% after the company reported fourth-quarter results that showed a decline in beverage and snack sales, though it also raised its dividend and announced a new buyback program.



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Amazon.com Inc.(>> Amazon.com) rose 2.2%. Earlier, a report read the e-commerce retailer will lay off hundreds of workers .



General Motors Co.(>> General Motors Corporation) lost 1.4% on the day after the auto maker said it would close an auto plant in South Korea , affecting 2,000 workers and leading to a charge of $850 million.



What's on the economic docket?



Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank will "remain alert" to any risks to financial stability, marking his maiden attempt to soothe financial markets.



Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said the sharp moves in the stock market over the past 10 days remain "far away" from being large enough to spill over and damage the economy.



The index of small-business optimism from the National Federation of Independent Businesses climbed two points to a reading of 106.9 in January.



What are other assets doing?



Europe stocks finished lower , while in Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 dropped 0.6%, bucking a mostly stronger session for other indexes (https://www.npr.org/2018/02/12/584531641/when-did-marriage-become-so-hard).



The dollar was under pressure , chiefly against the Japanese yen . The ICE U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.54% to 89.722. Gold futures settled up 0.3% as the dollar weakened .



The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was at 2.837%.





U.S. crude-oil settled slightly lowe r as the International Energy Agency said booming U.S. shale supply will likely overwhelm oil demand and weigh on prices this year . Bitcoin slipped around 4% to $8,544.



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