UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

July 16, 2018

(Date of earliest event reported)

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

1-8957

91-1292054

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

19300 International Boulevard, Seattle, Washington

98188

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

(206) 392-5040

(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions ( see General Instruction A.2. below):

oWritten communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

oSoliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).

oEmerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o


ITEM 7.01.Regulation FD Disclosure

On July 16, 2018, Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Group) issued a press release announcing its June 2018 operational results. The press release is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.1.

Also on July 16, 2018, Air Group provided an investor update related to its financial and operational outlook. The investor update is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.2.

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information under this item Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. This report will not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information required to be disclosed solely to satisfy the requirements of Regulation FD.

ITEM 9.01 Financial Statements and Other Exhibits

Exhibit 99.1

June 2018 Traffic Press Release dated July 16, 2018

Exhibit 99.2

Investor Update dated July 16, 2018

Signatures

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

Registrant

Date: July 16, 2018

/s/ Brandon S. Pedersen

Brandon S. Pedersen

Executive Vice President/Finance and Chief Financial Officer


Exhibit 99.1

July 16, 2018

Contact:

Investor contact:

Media Relations

Matt Grady

(206) 304-0008

Director, Investor Relations

newsroom@alaskaair.com

(206) 392-5382

Alaska Air Group reports June 2018 operational results

SEATTLE - Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE: ALK) today reported June and year-to-date operational results on a consolidated basis, for its mainline operations operated by subsidiary Alaska Airlines, Inc. (Alaska) and for its regional flying operated by subsidiary Horizon Air Industries, Inc. (Horizon) and third-party regional carriers SkyWest Airlines and Peninsula Airlines.

On January 11, 2018, Alaska and Virgin America consolidated their operations onto a Single Operating Certificate (SOC). Results for Alaska and Virgin America have been combined into a single mainline operation.

AIR GROUP

On a combined basis for all operations, Air Group reported a 7.3 percent increase in traffic on a 6.1 percent increase in capacity compared to June 2017. Load factor increased 1 point to 88.3 percent.

The following table shows the operational results for June and year-to-date compared to the prior-year periods:

June

Year-to-Date

2018

2017

Change

2018

2017

Change

Revenue passengers (000)

4,188

3,931

6.5%

22,558

21,399

5.4%

Revenue passenger miles RPM (000,000) "traffic"

5,050

4,707

7.3%

26,887

25,261

6.4%

Available seat miles ASM (000,000) "capacity"

5,716

5,389

6.1%

32,313

30,005

7.7%

Passenger load factor

88.3%

87.3%

1.0 pt

83.2%

84.2%

(1.0) pt


MAINLINE

Mainline reported a 6.4 percent increase in traffic on a 5.2 percent increase in capacity compared to June 2017. Load factor increased 1.1 points to 88.8 percent. Mainline also reported 82.4 percent of its flights arrived on time in June 2018, compared to 78.7 percent reported in June 2017.

Mainline operational results reflect both Alaska and Virgin America combined. The following table shows mainline operational results for June and year-to-date compared to the prior-year periods:

June

Year-to-Date

2018

2017

Change

2018

2017

Change

Revenue passengers (000)

3,275

3,074

6.5%

17,673

16,715

5.7%

RPMs (000,000)

4,615

4,337

6.4%

24,581

23,351

5.3%

ASMs (000,000)

5,199

4,943

5.2%

29,387

27,601

6.5%

Passenger load factor

88.8%

87.7%

1.1 pts

83.6%

84.6%

(1.0) pt

On-time arrivals as reported to U.S. DOT

82.4%

78.7%

3.7 pts

83.4%

76.0%

7.4 pts

REGIONAL

Regional traffic increased 17.6 percent on a 15.9 percent increase in capacity compared to June 2017. Load factor increased 1 point to 84.0 percent. Alaska's regional partners also reported 85.9 percent of its flights arrived on time in June 2018, compared to 79.8 percent in June 2017.

The following table shows regional operational results for June and year-to-date compared to the prior-year periods:

June

Year-to-Date

2018

2017

Change

2018

2017

Change

Revenue passengers (000)

913

857

6.5%

4,885

4,684

4.3%

RPMs (000,000)

435

370

17.6%

2,306

1,910

20.7%

ASMs (000,000)

517

446

15.9%

2,926

2,404

21.7%

Passenger load factor

84.0%

83.0%

1.0 pt

78.8%

79.5%

(0.7) pts

On-time arrivals as reported to U.S. DOT

85.9%

79.8%

6.1 pts

86.3%

78.7%

7.6 pts

Alaska Airlines and its regional partners fly 44 million guests a year to more than 115 destinations with an average of 1,200 daily flights across the United States and to Mexico, Canada and Costa Rica. With Alaska and Alaska Global Partners, guests can earn and redeem miles on flights to more than 900 destinations worldwide. Alaska Airlines ranked "Highest in Customer Satisfaction Among Traditional Carriers in North America" in the J.D. Power North America Airline Satisfaction Study for 11 consecutive years from 2008 to 2018. Learn about Alaska's award-winning service at newsroom.alaskaair.com and blog.alaskaair.com. Alaska Airlines and Horizon Air are subsidiaries of Alaska Air Group (NYSE: ALK).

# # #


Exhibit 99.2

Investor Update - July 16, 2018

Note to Investors

This abbreviated Investor Update is being provided to communicate certain actual second quarter 2018 operating statistics. It also includes forecasted total unit revenue (RASM), unit cost excluding fuel and other items (CASMex), estimated economic fuel cost per gallon for the quarter, expected non-operating income, and second quarter share repurchase information.

Unit revenue, unit cost and other financial forecasts are estimates only. Actual amounts reported may differ and are dependent on our normal quarter-end closing process.

A full Investor Update with information about fuel hedge positions, planned capital expenditures, fleet information, and share repurchase activity will be provided in connection with our second quarter earnings release scheduled for July 26, 2018.

References in this update to "Air Group," "Company," "we," "us," and "our" refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise specified.

Information about Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This update includes forecasted operational and financial information for our operations. Our disclosure of operating cost per available seat mile excluding fuel and other items provides us (and may provide investors) with the ability to measure and monitor our performance. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is total operating expense per available seat mile. However, due to the large fluctuations in fuel prices, we are unable to predict total operating expense for any future period with any degree of certainty. In addition, we believe the disclosure of fuel expense on an economic basis is useful to investors in evaluating our ongoing operational performance. Please see the cautionary statement under "Forward-Looking Information."

We are providing unaudited information about fuel price movements and the impact of our hedging program on our financial results. Management believes it is useful to compare results between periods on an "economic basis." Economic fuel expense is defined as the raw or "into-plane" fuel cost less any cash we receive from hedge counterparties for hedges that settle during the period, offset by the recognition of premiums originally paid for those hedges that settle during the period. Economic fuel expense more closely approximates the net cash outflow associated with purchasing fuel for our operation.

Forward-Looking Information

This update contains forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual outcomes to be materially different from those indicated by any forward-looking statements. For a comprehensive discussion of potential risk factors, see Item 1A of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, as well as in other documents filed by the Company with the SEC after the date thereof. Some of these risks include general economic conditions, increases in operating costs including fuel, competition, labor costs and relations, our indebtedness, inability to meet cost reduction goals, seasonal fluctuations in our financial results, an aircraft accident, changes in laws and regulations and risks inherent in the achievement of anticipated synergies and the timing thereof in connection with the acquisition of Virgin America. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed therein. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward-looking statements. We expressly disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements after the date of this report to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements will likely differ from the anticipated results, performance, or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, and such differences might be significant and materially adverse.


AIR GROUP - CONSOLIDATED

Second Quarter 2018

Operating Statistics

Q2 2018

Q2 2017

% Change

Revenue passengers (in thousands)

12,069

11,391

6.0%

Traffic (RPMs in millions)

14,484

13,554

6.9%

Capacity (ASMs in millions)

16,833

15,612

7.8%

Load factor

86.0%

86.8%

(0.8) pts

Forecast Information

Q2 2018 Forecast

Q2 2017

% Change

Prior Guidance

June 15, 2018

Revenue per ASM (cents)(a)

12.79¢ - 12.81¢

13.46¢

~ (4.9)%

~ (4.0)% - (5.0)%

Cost per ASM excluding fuel and special items (cents)(a)

8.14¢ - 8.16¢

7.98¢

~ 2.2%

8.23¢ - 8.28¢

Fuel gallons (000,000)

216

201

~ 7.5%

217

Economic fuel cost per gallon(b)

$2.30

$1.71

~ 34.5%

$2.31

(a)

RASM and CASMex in the preceding forecast information reflect the impacts of the updated accounting standards, effective for the Company January 1, 2018. Information not impacted by the updated accounting standards (Capacity, Fuel gallons, Economic fuel cost per gallon) has not been restated.

(b)

Our economic fuel cost per gallon estimate for the second quarter includes the following per-gallon assumptions: crude oil cost - $1.62 ($68 per barrel); refining margin - 55 cents; benefit of settled hedges - 4 cents; with the remaining difference due to taxes and other into-plane costs.

Nonoperating Expense

We expect that our consolidated nonoperating expense will be approximately $12 million in the second quarter of 2018.

Effective Tax Rate

We expect our second quarter 2018 effective tax rate on adjusted earnings will be 25.4%. We expect our 2018 full year effective tax rate will be approximately 25%.

Stock Repurchase and Share Count

In 2018, we have repurchased a total of 389,739 shares of common stock for approximately $25 million. We expect our weighted-average basic and diluted share counts will be 123.3 million and 124 million, respectively, for the second quarter of 2018.

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Alaska Air Group Inc. published this content on 16 July 2018 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 16 July 2018 10:55:01 UTC